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There are 9942 results for: content related to: Ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting at Horns Rev

  1. Very-short-term probabilistic forecasting of wind power with generalized logit–normal distributions

    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)

    Volume 61, Issue 4, August 2012, Pages: 555–576, P. Pinson

    Article first published online : 29 FEB 2012, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2011.01026.x

  2. Adaptive calibration of (u,v)-wind ensemble forecasts

    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

    Volume 138, Issue 666, July 2012 Part A, Pages: 1273–1284, Pierre Pinson

    Article first published online : 3 JAN 2012, DOI: 10.1002/qj.1873

  3. Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Ensemble Model Output Statistics

    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

    Volume 140, Issue 680, April 2014, Pages: 1086–1096, M. Scheuerer

    Article first published online : 12 JUL 2013, DOI: 10.1002/qj.2183

  4. You have full text access to this OnlineOpen article
    Reliability diagrams for non-parametric density forecasts of continuous variables: Accounting for serial correlation

    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

    Volume 136, Issue 646, January 2010 Part A, Pages: 77–90, Pierre Pinson, Patrick McSharry and Henrik Madsen

    Article first published online : 19 JAN 2010, DOI: 10.1002/qj.559

  5. Non-parametric probabilistic forecasts of wind power: required properties and evaluation

    Wind Energy

    Volume 10, Issue 6, November/December 2007, Pages: 497–516, Pierre Pinson, Henrik Aa. Nielsen, Jan K. Møller, Henrik Madsen and George N. Kariniotakis

    Article first published online : 21 MAY 2007, DOI: 10.1002/we.230

  6. Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression

    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)

    Volume 173, Issue 2, April 2010, Pages: 371–388, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir and Tilmann Gneiting

    Article first published online : 9 NOV 2009, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00616.x

  7. Decomposition and graphical portrayal of the quantile score

    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

    Sabrina Bentzien and Petra Friederichs

    Article first published online : 7 FEB 2014, DOI: 10.1002/qj.2284

  8. Spatially adaptive post-processing of ensemble forecasts for temperature

    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)

    Volume 63, Issue 3, April 2014, Pages: 405–422, Michael Scheuerer and Luca Büermann

    Article first published online : 30 SEP 2013, DOI: 10.1111/rssc.12040

  9. Multivariate probabilistic forecasting using ensemble Bayesian model averaging and copulas

    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

    Volume 139, Issue 673, April 2013 Part B, Pages: 982–991, Annette Möller, Alex Lenkoski and Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

    Article first published online : 17 SEP 2012, DOI: 10.1002/qj.2009

  10. A comparison of ensemble post-processing methods for extreme events

    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

    Volume 140, Issue 680, April 2014, Pages: 1112–1120, R. M. Williams, C. A. T. Ferro and F. Kwasniok

    Article first published online : 19 JUL 2013, DOI: 10.1002/qj.2198

  11. You have full text access to this OnlineOpen article
    Communicating uncertainty in hydro-meteorological forecasts: mission impossible?

    Meteorological Applications

    Volume 17, Issue 2, June 2010, Pages: 223–235, Maria-Helena Ramos, Thibault Mathevet, Jutta Thielen and Florian Pappenberger

    Article first published online : 17 MAY 2010, DOI: 10.1002/met.202

  12. Adaptive modelling and forecasting of offshore wind power fluctuations with Markov-switching autoregressive models

    Journal of Forecasting

    Volume 31, Issue 4, July 2012, Pages: 281–313, Pierre Pinson and Henrik Madsen

    Article first published online : 10 SEP 2010, DOI: 10.1002/for.1194

  13. Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting for Power System Operations

    International Statistical Review

    Volume 80, Issue 1, April 2012, Pages: 2–23, Xinxin Zhu and Marc G. Genton

    Article first published online : 10 APR 2012, DOI: 10.1111/j.1751-5823.2011.00168.x

  14. You have free access to this content
    Combining probabilistic precipitation forecasts from a nowcasting technique with a time-lagged ensemble

    Meteorological Applications

    Volume 21, Issue 2, April 2014, Pages: 230–240, Katrin Scheufele, Kirstin Kober, George C. Craig and Christian Keil

    Article first published online : 22 FEB 2013, DOI: 10.1002/met.1381

  15. Probabilistic forecasting of output growth, inflation and the balance of trade in a GVAR framework

    Journal of Applied Econometrics

    Volume 27, Issue 4, June/July 2012, Pages: 554–573, Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Viet Hoang Nguyen and Yongcheol Shin

    Article first published online : 13 SEP 2010, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1208

  16. From probabilistic forecasts to statistical scenarios of short-term wind power production

    Wind Energy

    Volume 12, Issue 1, January 2009, Pages: 51–62, Pierre Pinson, Henrik Madsen, Henrik Aa. Nielsen, George Papaefthymiou and Bernd Klöckl

    Article first published online : 22 SEP 2008, DOI: 10.1002/we.284

  17. Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness

    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology)

    Volume 69, Issue 2, April 2007, Pages: 243–268, Tilmann Gneiting, Fadoua Balabdaoui and Adrian E. Raftery

    Article first published online : 5 MAR 2007, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00587.x

  18. Gridded, locally calibrated, probabilistic temperature forecasts based on ensemble model output statistics

    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

    M. Scheuerer and G. König

    Article first published online : 21 MAR 2014, DOI: 10.1002/qj.2323

  19. You have free access to this content
    References

    Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, Second Edition

    Ian T. Jolliffe, David B. Stephenson, Pages: 251–266, 2012

    Published Online : 21 FEB 2012, DOI: 10.1002/9781119960003.refs

  20. Blending a probabilistic nowcasting method with a high-resolution numerical weather prediction ensemble for convective precipitation forecasts

    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

    Volume 138, Issue 664, April 2012 Part A, Pages: 755–768, K. Kober, G. C. Craig, C. Keil and A. Dörnbrack

    Article first published online : 4 OCT 2011, DOI: 10.1002/qj.939