Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making

Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd

Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making

Editor(s): David Hardman, Laura Macchi

Published Online: 28 JAN 2005

Print ISBN: 9780471494577

Online ISBN: 9780470013328

DOI: 10.1002/047001332X

About this Book

Product Information

About The Product

The first international handbook to bring the areas of reasoning, judgment and decision making together, now in paperback format.

The book brings three of the important topics of thinking together - reasoning, judgment and decision making a?? and discusses key issues in each area. The studies described range from those that are purely laboratory based to those that involve experts making real world judgments, in areas such as medical and legal decision making and political and economic forecasting.

  • International collection of original chapters by leading researchers in the field
  • Several chapters contain important new theoretical perspectives
  • Paperback version is more affordable for individual researchers

Table of contents

    1. You have free access to this content
      Front Matter (pages i–xv)

  2. Part I: Reasoning

    1. Chapter 1

      A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking (pages 1–21)

      Professor Jonathan St. B.T. Evans, Professor David E. Over and Dr Simon J. Handley

    2. Chapter 2

      Individual Differences in the Development of Reasoning Strategies (pages 23–43)

      Dr Maxwell J. Roberts and Dr Elizabeth J. Newton

    3. Chapter 3

      Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies Across Different Deductive Reasoning Domains (pages 45–61)

      Padraic Monaghan and Professor Keith Stenning

    4. Chapter 4

      Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals (pages 63–78)

      Dr Neil Fairley and Professor Ken Manktelow

    5. Chapter 5

      Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning (pages 79–93)

      Dr Guy Politzer

    6. Chapter 6

      Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional Inference: Suppression and Order Effects (pages 95–122)

      Professor Mike Oaksford and Professor Nick Chater

  3. Part II: Judgment

    1. Chapter 7

      Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability (pages 123–145)

      Professor Karl Halvor Teigen and Dr Wibecke Brun

    2. Chapter 8

      Possibilities and Probabilities (pages 147–164)

      Professor Paolo Legrenzi, Professor Vittorio Girotto, Professor Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Professor Philip N. Johnson-Laird

    3. Chapter 9

      The Partitive Conditional Probability (pages 165–187)

      Professor Laura Macchi

    4. Chapter 10

      Naive and Yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies to Fast and Frugal Decision Trees (pages 189–211)

      Dr Laura Martignon, Professor Oliver Vitouch, Dr Masanori Takezawa and Professor Malcolm R. Forster

    5. Chapter 11

      More Is Not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive Limits (pages 213–231)

      Dr Ralph Hertwig and Dr Peter M. Todd

    6. Chapter 12

      Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics (pages 233–250)

      Professor Philip E. Tetlock

  4. Part III: Decision Making

    1. Chapter 13

      Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic Decision Making (pages 251–272)

      Dr A. John Maule, Professor Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Dr Nicola J. Bown

    2. Chapter 14

      Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty (pages 273–314)

      Professor Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See

    3. Chapter 15

      Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical Decision (pages 315–345)

      Professor Robert M. Hamm

    4. Chapter 16

      On the Assessment of Decision Quality: Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability (pages 347–363)

      Professor Gideon Keren and Dr Wändi Bruine de Bruin

    1. You have free access to this content
      Author Index (pages 365–374)

    1. You have free access to this content
      Subject Index (pages 375–376)

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