Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, Second Edition

Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, Second Edition

Editor(s): Ian T. Jolliffe, David B. Stephenson

Published Online: 21 FEB 2012 01:58AM EST

Print ISBN: 9780470660713

Online ISBN: 9781119960003

DOI: 10.1002/9781119960003

About this Book

Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas.

Reviews of first edition:

"This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend it especially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecast systems." (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; April 2004)

"...a good mixture of theory and practical applications...well organized and clearly written..." (Royal Statistical Society, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005)

NEW to the second edition:

  • Completely updated chapter on the Verification of Spatial Forecasts taking account of the wealth of new research in the area
  • New separate chapters on Probability Forecasts and Ensemble Forecasts
  • Includes new chapter on Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings
  • Includes new chapter on Seasonal and Climate Forecasts
  • Includes new Appendix on Verification Software

Cover image credit:The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colour for visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories - see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).

 

 

Table of contents

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    3. Chapter 1

      Introduction (pages 1–9)

      Ian T. Jolliffe and David B. Stephenson

    4. Chapter 6

      Forecasts of Spatial Fields (pages 95–117)

      Barbara G. Brown, Eric Gilleland and Elizabeth E. Ebert

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