POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AQUATIC ECOSYSTEMS OF THE GREAT PLAINS OF NORTH AMERICA
Article first published online: 4 DEC 1998
Copyright © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Volume 11, Issue 8, pages 993–1021, 30 June 1997
How to Cite
COVICH, A. P., FRITZ, S. C., LAMB, P. J., MARZOLF, R. D., MATTHEWS, W. J., POIANI, K. A., PREPAS, E. E., RICHMAN, M. B. and WINTER, T. C. (1997), POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AQUATIC ECOSYSTEMS OF THE GREAT PLAINS OF NORTH AMERICA. Hydrol. Process., 11: 993–1021. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1085(19970630)11:8<993::AID-HYP515>3.0.CO;2-N
- Issue published online: 4 DEC 1998
- Article first published online: 4 DEC 1998
- Manuscript Accepted: 17 JUN 1996
- Manuscript Received: 15 NOV 1995
- climate change;
- aquatic ecosystems;
- lake history;
The Great Plains landscape is less topographically complex than most other regions within North America, but diverse aquatic ecosystems, such as playas, pothole lakes, ox-bow lakes, springs, groundwater aquifers, intermittent and ephemeral streams, as well as large rivers and wetlands, are highly dynamic and responsive to extreme climatic fluctuations. We review the evidence for climatic change that demonstrates the historical importance of extremes in north–south differences in summer temperatures and east–west differences in aridity across four large subregions. These physical driving forces alter density stratification, deoxygenation, decomposition and salinity. Biotic community composition and associated ecosystem processes of productivity and nutrient cycling respond rapidly to these climatically driven dynamics. Ecosystem processes also respond to cultural effects such as dams and diversions of water for irrigation, waste dilution and urban demands for drinking water and industrial uses. Distinguishing climatic from cultural effects in future models of aquatic ecosystem functioning will require more refinement in both climatic and economic forecasting. There is a need, for example, to predict how long-term climatic forecasts (based on both ENSO and global warming simulations) relate to the permanence and productivity of shallow water ecosystems. Aquatic ecologists, hydrologists, climatologists and geographers have much to discuss regarding the synthesis of available data and the design of future interdisciplinary research. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.