Chapter 17. Towards Risk-Based Prediction in Real-World Applications of Complex Hydraulic Models
- Paul D. Bates3,
- Stuart N. Lane4,
- Robert I. Ferguson4
Published Online: 10 OCT 2005
DOI: 10.1002/0470015195.ch17
Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
Book Title
Computational Fluid Dynamics: Applications in Environmental Hydraulics
Additional Information
How to Cite
Hankin, B.G. and Beven, K.J. (2005) Towards Risk-Based Prediction in Real-World Applications of Complex Hydraulic Models, in Computational Fluid Dynamics: Applications in Environmental Hydraulics (eds P. D. Bates, S. N. Lane and R. I. Ferguson), John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK. doi: 10.1002/0470015195.ch17
Editor Information
- 3
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, UK
- 4
Department of Geography, University of Durham, UK
Publication History
- Published Online: 10 OCT 2005
- Published Print: 22 APR 2005
ISBN Information
Print ISBN: 9780470843598
Online ISBN: 9780470015193
- Summary
- Chapter
Keywords:
- Asset Management Programme (AMP3);
- Combined Sewer Overflows (CSOs);
- DIVAST (Depth Integrated Velocities and Solute Transport);
- Ribble Estuary Model;
- Shellfish Waters guideline;
- uncertainty framework;
- GLUE approach;
- GLUE and CFD modelling
Summary
This chapter contains sections titled:
Introduction
Scenario 1: Wet weather impact of estimated sewer spills on the designated Shellfish Waters of the Ribble Estuary
Scenario 2: Improvements to sewer storage assumed – Three spills per BS per UCSO storage assumed, for all catchments
The role of uncertainty in hydraulic modelling
The GLUE procedure
Demonstration of how GLUE could be used in CFD modelling with uncertainty
GLUE approaches in a dynamic framework
Implications of undertaking an uncertainty analysis for the Ribble Estuary Study
Conclusions
Acknowledgements
References