Chemical Mass Balance
Published Online: 15 SEP 2006
Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
Encyclopedia of Environmetrics
How to Cite
Hopke, P. K. 2006. Chemical Mass Balance. Encyclopedia of Environmetrics. 1.
- Published Online: 15 SEP 2006
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The management of air quality is a difficult but important problem. In general it involves identification of the sources of materials emitted into the air (see Air Quality Indicators, Pollutant Specific), quantitative estimation of the emission rates of the pollutants, understanding of the transport of the substances from the sources to downwind locations, and knowledge of the physical and chemical transformation processes that can occur during that transport (see Atmospheric Dispersion: Chemistry). All of those elements can then be put together into a mathematical model that is used to estimate the changes in observable airborne concentrations that might be expected to occur if various actions were taken. Such actions could include the initiation of new sources as new industries are built and begin to function, and the imposition of emission controls of existing facilities to reduce the pollutant concentrations.
However, the atmosphere is a very complex system (see Meteorology) and it is necessary to simplify greatly the descriptions of reality to produce a mathematical model capable of being calculated on even the largest and fastest computers. Thus, although significant improvements have been made over the past 20 years in the mathematical modeling of dispersion of pollutants in the atmosphere, there are still many instances when the models are insufficient to permit the full development of effective and efficient air quality management strategies. Thus, it is necessary to have other methods available to assist in the identification of sources and the apportionment of the observed pollutant concentrations to those sources (see Source Apportionment). Such methods are called receptor-oriented or receptor models since they are focused on the behavior of the ambient environment at the point of impact (see Concentration, Ambient), as opposed to the source-oriented dispersion models that focus on the transport, dilution and transformations that occur at the source and follow the pollutants to the sampling or receptor site.
The fundamental principle of receptor models is that mass conservation can be assumed and a mass balance analysis can be used to identify and apportion sources of airborne particulate matter in the atmosphere. This methodology has generally been referred to within the air pollution research community as receptor modeling [6, 7]. The approach to obtaining a data set for receptor modeling is to determine a large number of chemical constituents such as elemental concentrations in a number of samples. Alternatively, automated electron microscopy can be used to characterize the composition and shape of particles in a series of particle samples. In either case, a mass balance equation can be written to account for all m chemical species in the n samples as contributions from p independent sources:
where xij is the ith elemental concentration measured in the jth sample, cik is the gravimetric concentration of the ith element in the material from the kth source, and skj is the airborne mass concentration of material from the kth source contributing to the jth sample.
There are a variety of ways to solve 1 depending on what information is available. If the number and nature of the sources in the region are known (i.e. p and aik), then the only unknown is the mass contribution of each source to each sample, fkj. This approach was first independently suggested in  and . Miller et al.  modified 1 to explicitly include changes in composition of the source material while in transit to the receptor:
where αik is the coefficient of fractionation so that if cik′ were the composition of the particles as emitted by the source, cik is the composition of the particles at the receptor site (cik = αikcik′). In practice, it is generally impossible to determine the αik values and they are assumed to be unity (cik = cik′). The collection of p source profile vectors forms a source profile matrix C.
Initially ordinary least squares was employed  for the estimation. Since different elements have quite different scales for their values (major elements at µg m−3 concentrations, minor elements at concentrations of hundreds of ng m−3 and trace elements at ng m−3 values), a weighted least squares regression analysis (see Least Squares, General) has been used to fit six sources with eight elements for ten ambient samples . In these analyses, the ambient elemental concentrations are weighted by the inverse of the square of the analytical uncertainty in that measurement.
It was recognized that there is uncertainty in the source profile values. The inclusion of this error is the statistical ‘error in x’ problem that has been examined by a large number of investigators (see Measurement Error). A mathematical formulation called effective variance weighting was independently suggested that included the uncertainty in the measurement of the source composition profiles as well as the uncertainties in the ambient concentrations [3, 16]. As part of this analysis, a method was also developed to permit the calculation of the uncertainties in the mass contributions. The effective variance weights are given by
where σi is the measured uncertainty in the ambient concentration xi and σik is the measured uncertainty for element i emitted by source k. Thus, the weights are dependent on the values of the regression coefficients, and an iterative algorithm is used to solve the problem. This approach has been described in  and . This effective-variance least squares (EVLS) method has been incorporated into the standard personal computer software developed for the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) . Because of the distribution of this EPA-approved model, it has become virtually mandatory to use EVLS in receptor modeling for regulatory purposes. It has thus been widely applied and those results are summarized in .
Because of limitations of performing the least-squares analysis, it is useful to have additional techniques that can help to determine the applicability of source profiles to the particulate apportionment problem being solved. These methods have been developed as solutions to the problem of calibrating multivariate chemical analysis instruments (see Calibration), but these methods can be applied to the receptor modeling problem. The methods applied to date include partial least squares [4, 13-15], simulated annealing , genetic algorithms  and backpropagation artificial neural networks . In particular, the artificial neural network showed better results with respect to collinearity of sources. However, these methods have not been extensively tested in solving actual chemical mass balance problems.
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