Chapter 3. Regression and Exponential Smoothing Methods to Forecast Nonseasonal Time Series

  1. Bovas Abraham,
  2. Johannes Ledolter

Published Online: 27 MAY 2008

DOI: 10.1002/9780470316610.ch3

Statistical Methods for Forecasting

Statistical Methods for Forecasting

How to Cite

Abraham, B. and Ledolter, J. (2008) Regression and Exponential Smoothing Methods to Forecast Nonseasonal Time Series, in Statistical Methods for Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, NJ, USA. doi: 10.1002/9780470316610.ch3

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 27 MAY 2008
  2. Published Print: 19 SEP 1983

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9780471867647

Online ISBN: 9780470316610

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Keywords:

  • regression model;
  • predictor variables;
  • polynomial trend models;
  • constant mean model;
  • linear trend model

Summary

The prelims comprise:

  • Forecasting a Single Time Series

  • Constant Mean Model

  • Locally Constant Mean Model and Simple Exponential Smoothing

  • Regression Models with Time as Independent Variable

  • Discounted Least Squares and General Exponential Smoothing

  • Locally Constant Linear Trend Model and Double Exponential Smoothing

  • Locally Quadratic Trend Model and Triple Exponential Smoothing

  • Prediction Intervals for Future Values

  • Further Comments