Chapter 1. Graphical Models and Probabilistic Reasoning

  1. Timo Koski1,
  2. John M. Noble2

Published Online: 25 SEP 2009

DOI: 10.1002/9780470684023.ch1

Bayesian Networks: An Introduction

Bayesian Networks: An Introduction

How to Cite

Koski, T. and Noble, J. M. (2009) Graphical Models and Probabilistic Reasoning, in Bayesian Networks: An Introduction, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK. doi: 10.1002/9780470684023.ch1

Author Information

  1. 1

    Institutionen för Matematik, Kungliga Tekniska Högskolan, Stockholm, Sweden

  2. 2

    Matematiska Institutionen, Linköpings Tekniska Högskola, Linköpings universitet, Linköping, Sweden

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 25 SEP 2009
  2. Published Print: 25 SEP 2009

Book Series:

  1. Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics

Book Series Editors:

  1. Walter A. Shewhart,
  2. Samuel S. Wilks

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9780470743041

Online ISBN: 9780470684023

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Keywords:

  • graphical models and probabilistic reasoning;
  • graphical models and probability theory and graph theory interaction;
  • Bayesian networks and joint probability models;
  • correlations or statistical associations between variables implying causation;
  • axioms of probability and basic notations;
  • random variables and random vectors;
  • Bayes update of probability;
  • task of inductive learning;
  • multinomial sampling and Dirichlet integral;
  • predictive probability for next toss

Summary

This chapter contains sections titled:

  • Introduction

  • Axioms of probability and basic notations

  • The Bayes update of probability

  • Inductive learning

  • Interpretations of probability and Bayesian networks

  • Learning as inference about parameters

  • Bayesian statistical inference

  • Tossing a thumb-tack

  • Multinomial sampling and the Dirichlet integral

  • Notes

  • Exercises: Probabilistic theories of causality, Bayes' rule, multinomial sampling and the Dirichlet density