10. Scoring Rules

  1. Giovanni Parmigiani1 and
  2. Lurdes Y. T. Inoue2

Published Online: 1 DEC 2010

DOI: 10.1002/9780470746684.ch10

Decision Theory

Decision Theory

How to Cite

Parmigiani, G. and Inoue, L. Y. T. (2009) Scoring Rules, in Decision Theory, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK. doi: 10.1002/9780470746684.ch10

Author Information

  1. 1

    Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, USA

  2. 2

    University of Washington, Seattle, USA

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 1 DEC 2010
  2. Published Print: 17 APR 2009

Book Series:

  1. Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics

Book Series Editors:

  1. Walter A. Shewhart and
  2. Samuel S. Wilks

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9780471496571

Online ISBN: 9780470746684

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Keywords:

  • scoring rules;
  • betting and forecasting;
  • proper scoring rules;
  • quadratic scoring rules;
  • scoring rules that are not proper;
  • local scoring rules;
  • calibration and refinement - well-calibrated forecaster;
  • stochastic transformation

Summary

This chapter contains sections titled:

  • Betting and forecasting

  • Scoring rules

  • Local scoring rules

  • Calibration and refinement

  • Exercises