11. Statistical Fitting of the Political–Ecological System Simulator

  1. Timothy C. Haas

Published Online: 12 JAN 2011

DOI: 10.1002/9780470979334.ch11

Improving Natural Resource Management: Ecological and Political Models

Improving Natural Resource Management: Ecological and Political Models

How to Cite

Haas, T. C. (2011) Statistical Fitting of the Political–Ecological System Simulator, in Improving Natural Resource Management: Ecological and Political Models, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK. doi: 10.1002/9780470979334.ch11

Author Information

  1. Sheldon B. Lubar School of Business, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, USA

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 12 JAN 2011
  2. Published Print: 4 MAR 2011

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9780470661130

Online ISBN: 9780470979334

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Keywords:

  • collection initialization algorithm;
  • consistency analysis;
  • East African cheetah EMT simulator;
  • political—ecological system simulator;
  • statistical fitting

Summary

The first step towards establishing predictive validity is to statistically fit the political—ecological system simulator to data. This chapter presents algorithms for initializing consistency analysis when the data set contains an actions history. With actions history data, maximization of the overall match fraction is of the highest priority. Therefore, to assure that this maximum overall match fraction is found, collection initialization uses integer programming methods to find an in—out pattern collection that maximizes the overall match fraction. Then, consistency analysis is used to fit the East African cheetah EMT simulator to a data set formed by combining the political actions data and the ecosystem data. This combined data set is referred to as a political—ecological data set.

Controlled Vocabulary Terms

data collection; hypothesis testing; statistical measures