3. Epidemics

  1. James R. Thompson

Published Online: 29 NOV 2011

DOI: 10.1002/9781118109656.ch3

Empirical Model Building: Data, Models, and Reality, Second Edition

Empirical Model Building: Data, Models, and Reality, Second Edition

How to Cite

Thompson, J. R. (2011) Epidemics, in Empirical Model Building: Data, Models, and Reality, Second Edition, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, NJ, USA. doi: 10.1002/9781118109656.ch3

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 29 NOV 2011
  2. Published Print: 24 OCT 2011

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9780470467039

Online ISBN: 9781118109656

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Keywords:

  • AIDS;
  • cholera;
  • epidemics;
  • polio;
  • stochastic model;
  • United States

Summary

This chapter concerns with epidemics in the classical contagion sense. It concerns with an outbreak of cholera in London. The chapter argues that a simple sociological intervention could be used against the United States AIDS epidemic, without the use of the vaccines or antiviral agents. Then it presents the postwar years, polio which became a highly visible scourge in a number of American cities, particularly in the South, among the young. The chapter investigates the common practice of using stochastic models in dealing with various aspects of diseases. The relative incidence of AIDS for various First World countries when compared to that of the United States appears, for each country, to be relatively constant over time and this incidence appears to be roughly the same for cumulative ratios and for ratios of new cases.

Controlled Vocabulary Terms

epidemics