14. Bayes, Laplace, and Philosophies of Probability (1764, 1774)

  1. Prakash Gorroochurn

Published Online: 7 MAY 2012

DOI: 10.1002/9781118314340.ch14

Classic Problems of Probability

Classic Problems of Probability

How to Cite

Gorroochurn, P. (2012) Bayes, Laplace, and Philosophies of Probability (1764, 1774), in Classic Problems of Probability, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, NJ, USA. doi: 10.1002/9781118314340.ch14

Author Information

  1. Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 7 MAY 2012
  2. Published Print: 8 JUN 2012

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9781118063255

Online ISBN: 9781118314340



  • Bayes, Laplace, and philosophies of probability (1764, 1774);
  • Bayes' Essay, third major breakthrough after Pascal and Fermat's;
  • Bayes and the inverse problem, Bayes' Essay on inverse probability;
  • Bayes idea, on how probable the probability assigned to an event becomes;
  • second concept of probability, popular one based on relative frequency


This chapter contains sections titled:

  • Discussion