10. Markov Models

  1. Nicky J. Welton1,
  2. Alexander J. Sutton2,
  3. Nicola J. Cooper2,
  4. Keith R. Abrams2 and
  5. A.E. Ades1

Published Online: 3 APR 2012

DOI: 10.1002/9781119942986.ch10

Evidence Synthesis for Decision Making in Healthcare

Evidence Synthesis for Decision Making in Healthcare

How to Cite

Welton, N. J., Sutton, A. J., Cooper, N. J., Abrams, K. R. and Ades, A.E. (2012) Markov Models, in Evidence Synthesis for Decision Making in Healthcare, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK. doi: 10.1002/9781119942986.ch10

Author Information

  1. 1

    School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, UK

  2. 2

    Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, UK

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 3 APR 2012
  2. Published Print: 11 MAY 2012

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9780470061091

Online ISBN: 9781119942986

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Keywords:

  • Markov models;
  • Markov models, in continuous and discrete time;
  • Markov property or Memoryless property;
  • Markov, modelling tool, building on time dependence;
  • decision analysis, with Markov models;
  • single study, transition parameter estimation;
  • asthma, and prophylactic treatment;
  • evidence from multiple studies, for cost-effectiveness;
  • model parameters estimated, for transition probabilities;
  • WinBUGS code, incorporating treatment effects

Summary

This chapter contains sections titled:

  • Introduction

  • Continuous and discrete time Markov models

  • Decision analysis with Markov models

  • Estimating transition parameters from a single study

  • Propagating uncertainty in Markov parameters into a decision model

  • Estimating transition parameters from a synthesis of several studies

  • Summary key points

  • Further reading

  • Exercises

  • References