19. Role of Predictive Microbiology in Food Preservation

  1. Rajeev Bhat3,
  2. Abd Karim Alias3 and
  3. Gopinadhan Paliyath4
  1. Francisco Noé Arroyo-López1,
  2. Joaquín Bautista-Gallego1 and
  3. Antonio Garrido-Fernández2

Published Online: 16 JAN 2012

DOI: 10.1002/9781119962045.ch19

Progress in Food Preservation

Progress in Food Preservation

How to Cite

Arroyo-López, F. N., Bautista-Gallego, J. and Garrido-Fernández, A. (2012) Role of Predictive Microbiology in Food Preservation, in Progress in Food Preservation (eds R. Bhat, A. Karim Alias and G. Paliyath), Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford, UK. doi: 10.1002/9781119962045.ch19

Editor Information

  1. 3

    Food Technology Division, School of Industrial Technology, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Penang, Malaysia

  2. 4

    Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada

Author Information

  1. 1

    Cavanilles Institute for Biodiversity & Evolutionary Biology, University of Valencia, Edifici d'Institus del Campus de Paterna, Valencia, Spain

  2. 2

    Departamento de Biotecnología de Alimentos, Instituto de la Grasa (CSIC), Seville, Spain

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 16 JAN 2012
  2. Published Print: 10 FEB 2012

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9780470655856

Online ISBN: 9781119962045



  • food safety;
  • food spoilage;
  • mathematical modelling;
  • predictive microbiology


The levels of microorganisms in food ecosystems can be controlled by diverse factors such as temperature, pH, water activity or preservatives, which determine their growth, survival or inactivation. Predictive microbiology is a multidisciplinary area of food microbiology which is devoted to studying and predicting, by means of mathematical models, the effects of the mentioned factors on microbial behaviour. The present chapter shows an overview of the successive steps to follow for the successful development and implementation of a predictive model, as well as the most common types of secondary models used in food microbiology. The chapter continues with a general review of the most powerful predictive microbiological tools that are currently available on the web, and finalizes by commenting on the direct implications and applications of predictive microbiology in food preservation.