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Research Article
Earlier Web usage statistics as predictors of later citation impact
Article first published online: 25 APR 2006
DOI: 10.1002/asi.20373
Copyright © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc., A Wiley Company
Issue
Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology
Volume 57, Issue 8, pages 1060–1072, June 2006
Additional Information
How to Cite
Brody, T., Harnad, S. and Carr, L. (2006), Earlier Web usage statistics as predictors of later citation impact. J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci., 57: 1060–1072. doi: 10.1002/asi.20373
Publication History
- Issue published online: 17 MAY 2006
- Article first published online: 25 APR 2006
- Manuscript Accepted: 12 MAY 2005
- Manuscript Revised: 28 APR 2005
- Manuscript Received: 4 APR 2005
- Abstract
- Article
- References
- Cited By
Abstract
The use of citation counts to assess the impact of research articles is well established. However, the citation impact of an article can only be measured several years after it has been published. As research articles are increasingly accessed through the Web, the number of times an article is downloaded can be instantly recorded and counted. One would expect the number of times an article is read to be related both to the number of times it is cited and to how old the article is. The authors analyze how short-term Web usage impact predicts medium-term citation impact. The physics e-print archive—arXiv.org—is used to test this.