This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the U.S.A.
Special Issue Article - Joint HEPEX/COST731 workshop on downscaling NWP products and propagation of uncertainty in hydrological modelling, Toulouse, 2009
Diagnostic verification of hydrometeorological and hydrologic ensembles†
Version of Record online: 6 APR 2010
This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the U.S.A. Published in 2010 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Atmospheric Science Letters
Special Issue: Special Issue: Joint HEPEX/COST731 workshop on downscaling NWP products and propagation of uncertainty in hydrological modelling, Toulouse, 2009
Volume 11, Issue 2, pages 114–122, April 2010
How to Cite
Demargne, J., Brown, J., Liu, Y., Seo, D.-J., Wu, L., Toth, Z. and Zhu, Y. (2010), Diagnostic verification of hydrometeorological and hydrologic ensembles. Atmosph. Sci. Lett., 11: 114–122. doi: 10.1002/asl.261
- Issue online: 9 JUN 2010
- Version of Record online: 6 APR 2010
- Manuscript Revised: 18 DEC 2009
- Manuscript Received: 30 SEP 2009
- Manuscript Accepted: 26 JAN 2009
- Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS)
- hydrological forecasting;
- probabilistic verification;
This paper presents a strategy for diagnostic verification of hydrologic ensembles, based on the selection of summary verification metrics (which could be extended to more detailed metrics) and the analysis of the relative contribution of the different sources of error. Such diagnostic verification could be conducted with the Ensemble Verification System (EVS) and is illustrated with a verification case study of experimental precipitation and streamflow ensemble reforecasts over a 24-year period. The EVS is proposed as a flexible and modular tool for the HEPEX verification test-bed to evaluate existing and emerging verification methods that are appropriate for hydrologic applications. Published in 2010 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.