The usefulness of Bayesian optimal designs for discrete choice experiments


Roselinde Kessels, Faculty of Applied Economics and StatUa Center for Statistics, Universiteit Antwerpen, Prinsstraat 13, 2000, Antwerp, Belgium.



Recently, the use of Bayesian optimal designs for discrete choice experiments, also called stated choice experiments or conjoint choice experiments, has gained much attention, stimulating the development of Bayesian choice design algorithms. Characteristic for the Bayesian design strategy is that it incorporates the available information about people's preferences for various product attributes in the choice design. This is in contrast with the linear design methodology, which is also used in discrete choice design and which depends for any claims of optimality on the unrealistic assumption that people have no preference for any of the attribute levels. Although linear design principles have often been used to construct discrete choice experiments, we show using an extensive case study that the resulting utility-neutral optimal designs are not competitive with Bayesian optimal designs for estimation purposes. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.