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Figure S1: Diagram representing the sub-sample of cities at risk in 2004, with HDI < 0.66.

Figure S2: (A) Estimates of the zero probability. (B) Estimates of the parameter p. (C) True mean and adjusted for covariate X1. (D) Adjusted mean compared to the true mean.

Figure S3: (A) Estimates of the zero probability. (B) Estimates of the parameter p. (C) True mean and adjusted for covariate X1. (D) Adjusted mean compared to the true mean.

Figure S4: Posterior summary of parameter vectors β1 and β2 for real data.

Table S1: Leptospirosis notifications and HDI from cities in Bahia State in 2004.

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