Prospective study of growth and development in older girls and risk of benign breast disease in young women

Authors


Abstract

BACKGROUND:

In adult women with retrospective data, childhood adiposity, pubertal growth and development were associated with benign breast disease (BBD) and/or breast cancer. The authors prospectively evaluated these childhood/adolescent characteristics and BBD risk.

METHODS:

The Growing Up Today Study (GUTS) included females, aged 9-15 years in 1996, who completed annual questionnaires through 2001, then 2003, 2005, and 2007. Participants annually/biennially provided information on menarche, height, and weight, from which the authors derived body mass index (BMI in kg/m2). Peak height growth velocity (PHV in cm/year) was estimated from longitudinal data. On 2005-2007 surveys, 6899 females (18-27 years of age) reported whether a healthcare provider ever diagnosed BBD (n = 147), and whether it was confirmed by biopsy (n = 67). Logistic models investigated risk factors adjusted for age, alcohol, pregnancy, and maternal history.

RESULTS:

More childhood adiposity (odds ratio [OR], 0.91/[kg/m2]; P = .04) and shorter adult height (OR, 0.93/inch shorter; P = .07) were associated with lower risk of biopsy-confirmed BBD. Girls with most rapid height growth were at increased risk (OR, 2.12; P = .09) relative to those with the slowest growth. Age at menarche was not associated (OR, 1.11/year; P = .32) nor was adult BMI (adjusted for childhood BMI: OR, 1.01/[kg/m2]; P = .98); larger BMI increases (childhood to adulthood) were not protective (OR + 1.04/[kg/m2]; P = .37). Among girls with maternal breast cancer, those with more rapid growth had higher risk (OR, 1.47/[cm/year]; P = .02). All estimates were age-adjusted.

CONCLUSIONS:

Increased BBD risk (likely evolving to elevated breast cancer risk) was observed in thinner girls, girls with the most rapid growth, and taller women. Contrary to expectations, later menarche age was not protective against BBD, consistent with studies that found BBD patients are not protected against breast cancer by later menarche. Cancer 2011. © 2011 American Cancer Society.

Multiple lines of evidence point to the period in life before a woman's first pregnancy, when mammary gland cells are undergoing rapid proliferation, as a critical time for carcinogenic exposures that may increase her lifetime risk of breast cancer.1 Human studies indicate that childhood and adolescent exposures can be more critical than exposures from adulthood in the development of breast cancer.2-4 Several studies have suggested that more rapid childhood height growth may be a factor in the development of cancer and, especially, breast cancer in women.5-7 In particular, our own work has linked more rapid peak height growth, earlier menarche, being thinner at ages 5 and 10 years, and being taller in adulthood to elevated risk for breast cancer.5

Benign breast disease (BBD) is well established as a risk factor for breast cancer.8 The investigation of adolescent exposures and BBD may provide insight into the etiology of breast cancer and possible avenues for prevention. We recently reported a strong association between adolescent consumption of alcoholic beverages and risk of BBD in young women.9 Alcohol consumption by adult women is 1 of few preventable factors known to increase breast cancer risk.10

By using data from a prospective cohort of children initiated when they were 9-15 years of age, with follow-up data available to age 27 years, we investigated whether several growth, pubertal, and developmental factors that occur during older childhood and adolescence are associated with BBD in young women. We focus on factors that we previously demonstrated, in retrospective analyses, to be associated with risk of breast cancer.5

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Study Population

Established in 1996, the Growing Up Today Study (GUTS) includes 9037 girls from all 50 states who are daughters of Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII) participants.11 The study, approved by institutional review boards at Harvard School of Public Health and Brigham and Women's Hospital, is described elsewhere.12 Mothers provided informed consent, and their daughters assented by completing baseline questionnaires. The cohort returned follow-up questionnaires annually (by mail or Internet) from 1996 through 2001, followed by surveys in 2003, 2005, and 2007. The girls' response rate to 1 or more follow-ups after baseline was 97%. A total of 77% (n = 6927) returned the 2005 and/or 2007 (through December 2008) surveys inquiring about BBD. A total of 6899 females provided information on BBD; excluded were 8 girls whose mothers reported their daughter had been diagnosed with childhood cancer.

Benign Breast Disease

The 2005 and 2007 surveys asked “Has a healthcare provider ever diagnosed you as having Benign Breast Disease?” and, if yes, whether it had been “Confirmed by breast biopsy”. A total of 6752 females who responded that they had never been diagnosed with BBD provide the noncases for these analyses. Another 147 females reported that they had been given a diagnosis of BBD, although not all were confirmed by biopsy. Among these cases are 67 females who reported that their BBD diagnoses were confirmed by breast biopsy; these included 27 with biopsy-confirmed BBD reported in both 2005 and 2007, another 29 with confirmed BBD only in 2007 (some returned no 2005 survey), and 11 with confirmed BBD reported in 2005 (but no 2007 survey). These 67 cases and 6752 noncases provided the data for analyses of biopsy-confirmed BBD, but some analyses also used all 147 reported cases of BBD.

Questionnaires did not ask for date of diagnosis. Most BBD cases were likely diagnosed because participants (or their physicians) found a clinically palpable mass; the girls were too young to be undergoing routine screening mammography. Details from a validation study, using self-reports by women of biopsy-confirmed BBD, have been reported previously.13

Risk Factors From Older Childhood and Adolescence

Age at Menarche

Our surveys annually asked the girls “Have you started having menstrual periods?” and “If yes, age when periods began.”

Height and Weight

Children reported their heights and weights on each survey. Our questionnaire provided specific measuring instructions but suggested that they seek assistance; their mothers biennially self-report their own weights for NHSII.11 An analysis of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III (NHANES III, 1988-1994) adolescents indicated high validity for self-reported height (r = 0.82) and weight (r = 0.90).14 We assessed relative weight status by computing body mass index (BMI = weight÷height2 [kg/m2]). The validity of self-reported BMI was demonstrated by National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health analyses that found high correlation (r = 0.92) between BMI computed from measured values and from self-reports by youth in grades 7-12.15

Baseline BMI was obtained in 1996 from measurements at ages 9 to 15 years. To represent body fatness at age 10 that we used in a prior study of breast cancer in another cohort,5 we used the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) BMI charts.16 From each girl's baseline BMI, we subtracted the CDC age-specific (to the month) 50 percentile BMI to obtain a BMI deviation; we then added to her deviation the median BMI of the 10-year old girls in our cohort. Adult height and adult BMI were assessed from the 2005 and 2007 surveys, when participants were between ages 18 and 27 years; adult BMI was of interest because of concerns that being overweight and obese may reduce the likelihood of a BBD diagnosis because of the greater difficulty in detecting a mass in a fatter breast.

Peak Height Growth Velocity (PHV)

From the serial heights on a girl, we computed a series of annualized height growth increments, HTt – HTt-1 divided by the time interval (in years, to the month) between adjacent survey return dates. Whenever an annual survey or height was missing, and when surveys were biennial (2001, 2003, 2005), we computed annualized height growth from surveys 2 years apart. Girls who, at baseline, had already begun their menstrual periods (34%) were past peak growth, so we could not estimate peak velocity from their heights; they were omitted from analyses of peak growth velocity. For each girl who was premenarchal at baseline, we inspected her annualized growth increments and designated the largest her peak height growth velocity (PHV; cm/yr). These were used in an earlier investigation of dairy food consumption and height growth.17 In the current analysis of 6899 females with BBD information, 4519 were premenarchal at baseline, and 3926 of them provided an estimated PHV.

Other Variables

At baseline, participants reported their race/ethnic group by marking all (of 6) options that applied. We computed ages (to the month) from dates of questionnaire return and date of birth. On several surveys (1999, 2003, 2005) the females reported whether they had ever been pregnant. Cumulative alcohol intake was derived from alcohol reported on the 2000, 2001, and 2003 surveys.9 Participants' mothers provided information on their own diagnoses of breast cancer and biopsy-confirmed BBD.

Statistical Analyses

We compared, using baseline (1996) data, females who were in these analyses (returned 2005 and/or 2007 surveys) with those who were not included. Because we did not have information on when cases were diagnosed, the outcome for our analyses was prevalent BBD. Logistic regression models, estimated by using SAS,18 provided odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for each risk factor. Because age was related to each female's chance of being diagnosed with BBD during follow-up, we adjusted all models for exact age (to the month) at baseline. (Baseline age was more important than adult age [when BBD surveys returned] and follow-up time since baseline, both of which were nonsignificant [P = .63 and P = .55] when included in models with baseline age.) Univariate (age-adjusted) models tested hypotheses that childhood body fatness, age at menarche, adult height, adult BMI, and PHV are associated with BBD risk. We estimated multivariate models as well, in which these factors appear together along with additional adjustment factors. Because adolescent alcohol consumption significantly increased BBD risk in this cohort, multivariate models include it.9 Because there is a transient increase in risk of breast cancer after pregnancy,19 we also adjusted for pregnancy history. Multivariate models further include maternal history of BBD and breast cancer. Among women with biopsy-confirmed BBD, a positive family history increased breast cancer risk by 50%.20

Age-adjusted and multivariate models use continuous versions of hypothesized risk factors. These factors are analyzed in other models as categorical variables, in which the categories are (when possible) from our earlier article on these factors and breast cancer.5 For adult height and PHV, the categories are identical to those used earlier. For age at menarche, the categories are identical except that ages ≥15 years are pooled with the group aged 14 years. For BMI variables, we used quintiles.

We also investigated risk factors separately among females with, and without, a maternal history of BBD and/or breast cancer.

RESULTS

BBD responses were obtained from 6899 females, who provided 67 biopsy-confirmed BBD cases and 6752 noncases for these analyses. Most GUTS females are white/non-Hispanic (95%), as are most BBD cases. One case reported “other” race, 1 case reported being both white and American Indian or Alaskan native, and another did not complete the race question.

Baseline (1996) data of females who returned the 2005 and/or 2007 surveys (77% of the original cohort) are compared with those who returned neither survey and, thus, had no BBD information to contribute to these analyses. At baseline, the included girls were slightly younger (6 weeks) than those not analyzed here, they reached menarche 6 weeks later, and their mean PHV was 0.57cm greater (all P < .05). However, they were similar at baseline in BMI and height. Thus, we may be missing older participants who were diagnosed with BBD, or some girls with earlier menarche or slower peak growth. Our slightly reduced range of exposures on these variables may reduce our ability to detect associations.

Table 1 shows means of variables in our analyses, separately by BBD status. Biopsy-confirmed cases were, at baseline, about 7 months older and one-half BMI (0.54 kg/m2) slimmer. Cases' mean age at menarche was 2 months later, and as young women they were thinner and taller than noncases. Cases and noncases had similar mean peak height growth velocity (PHV). Multivariate analyses of these risk factors adjusted for alcohol, pregnancy history, and maternal history of disease (Table 1); cases drank more alcohol (age-adjusted OR, 1.64/[daily drink]; P = .01), more of them had been pregnant at least once (OR, 1.14; P = .80), and more had a maternal history of BBD (OR, 1.59; P = .096), or breast cancer (OR, 1.94; P = .20).

Table 1. Prospectively Collected Measures of Growth, and Adjustment Factors, in Older Girls and Adolescents by Benign Breast Disease Case Status (Reported From 2005 Through 2008)
 Never Reported BBDBiopsy- Confirmed BBD Case
  • Means or percentages (with standard errors in parentheses) are reported without age adjustment.

  • BBD indicates benign breast disease; BMI, body mass index; PHV, peak height growth velocity.

  • a

    Baseline survey was in 1996.

  • b

    Peak height growth velocity (PHV) computed from observed height increments in girls who were still growing at baseline (n = 3926).

  • c

    Adult measurements were means of values provided on 2005 and 2007 surveys (returned through 2008).

  • d

    Cumulative average of alcohol intakes from year 2000 to 2003.

Total no.675267
Baseline age,a y12.0(.02)12.6(.19)
Baseline BMI,a kg/m219.2(.04)18.7(.34)
PHV,b cm/y8.58(.05)8.54(.47)
Age at menarche, y12.8(.01)13.0(.13)
Adultc age y22.0(.02)22.7(.20)
Adultc BMI kg/m223.7(.06)22.9(.42)
Adult height,c in65.4(.03)66.0(.33)
BMI change from baseline to adult4.52(.04)4.22(.25)
Multivariate model adjustment factors
 Alcohol consumptiond (drinks/day)0.21(.005)0.39(.07)
 Pregnancy ever (through 2005)4.59%(0.3)5.97%(2.9)
 Mother BBD18.5%(0.5)26.9%(5.4)
 Mother breast cancer3.18%(0.2)5.97%(2.9)

Table 2 presents the mean and standard deviation for each risk factor, along with its distribution among the categories used in logistic models. The GUTS mean age at menarche (12.85 years) is similar to an earlier cohort in which menarche was reported in real time (12.8 years).21 And the GUTS mean PHV of 8.58 cm/year (Table 2) is comparable to means from several earlier female cohorts, in which the PHVs were derived from heights measured by study personnel rather than self-reported by participants.21-23

Table 2. Distributions of Prospectively Ascertained Risk Factors From 6899 Females, Born 1981 to 1987 and Followed From 1996 Through 2008 for Reported Diagnoses of Benign Breast Disease
 Mean (SD)Category [Proportion of Study Population Within Each Group]
  1. SD indicates standard deviation; BMI, body mass index; PHV, peak height growth velocity.

Age, y, at menarche12.85 (1.2)≤11 [0.228]12 [0.329]13 [0.282]≥14 [0.161] 
Adult height, in65.4 (2.7)≤62 in [0.158]63 [0.112]64-65 [0.261]66 [0.143]≥67 in [0.327]
Childhood BMI, kg/m218.17 (3.35)≤15.50 [0.198]to 16.83 [0.198]to 18.23 [0.202]to 20.38 [0.201]>20.38 [0.201]
Adult BMI, kg/m223.65 (4.6)≤20.37 [0.20]to 21.79 [0.193]to 23.39 [0.206]to 26.13 [0.20]>26.13 [0.201]
PHV, cm/y8.58 (3.1)≤7.6 [0.333]to 8.1 [0.15]to 8.5 [0.089]to 8.9 [0.035]>8.9 [0.394]

Age-adjusted and multivariate models appear in Table 3. For each risk factor, we present models estimated using all 147 reported cases of BBD, followed by models estimated using the 67 biopsy-confirmed cases. Comments below refer to univariate (age-adjusted) models of biopsy-confirmed cases, unless stated otherwise.

Table 3. Age-Adjusted and Multivariate Odds Ratios (95% CI) for Benign Breast Disease in Growing Up Today Study Women Followed From 1996 Through 2008, When the Oldest Were 27 Years of Age
 Risk-Factor Categories Continuous Beta
  • CI indicates confidence interval; BBD, benign breast disease; adj, adjusted; Multiv, multivariate; BMI, body mass index; PHV, peak height growth velocity.

  • +

    P < 0.10.

  • *

    P < 0.05.

  • a

    Adjusted for baseline age (to the month).

  • b

    Multivariate model included baseline age, menarche age, adult height, childhood BMI, adult BMI, adolescent alcohol consumption, pregnancy (never, ever), and maternal history of BBD and breast cancer.

  • c

    Multivariate model included baseline age, peak height growth velocity (PHV), adolescent alcohol consumption, pregnancy (never, ever), and maternal history of BBD and breast cancer.

Age at menarche≤111213≥14 β (95% CI)P
 No. of cases all reported BBD23524328   
  Age-adja OR1.0 (ref)1.57+ (.96-2.58)1.53 (.92-2.55)1.73+ (.99-3.01) 1.08/y (.94-1.24).27
  Multiv-adjb OR1.0 (ref)1.48 (.90-2.45)1.36 (.80-2.31)1.46 (.81-2.65) 1.00/y (.86-1.16).97
 No. of cases biopsy-confirmed7271914   
  Age-adja OR1.0 (ref)2.68* (1.16-6.18)2.22+ (.93-5.29)2.83* (1.14-7.03) 1.11/y (.91-1.35).32
  Multiv-adjb OR1.0 (ref)2.42* (1.04-5.63)1.87 (.77-4.56)2.20 (.84-5.74) 1.00/y (.80-1.24).96
Adult height, in≤62 in6364-6566≥67 inContinuous βP
 No. of cases all reported2015341959  
  Age-adj a OR1.0 (ref)1.04 (.53-2.04)1.01 (.58-1.77)1.02 (.54-1.91)1.39 (.83-2.32)1.06/in (1.0-1.12).06
  Multiv-adjb OR1.0 (ref)1.05 (.53-2.06)0.97 (.56-1.71)0.94 (.50-1.79)1.29 (.77-2.17)1.05/in (.99-1.12)<.10
 No. of cases biopsy-confirmed9812731  
  Age-adja OR1.0 (ref)1.22 (.47-3.19)0.79 (.33-1.89)0.82 (.31-2.23)1.61 (.76-3.40)1.08/in (.99-1.18).07
  Multiv-adjb OR1.0 (ref)1.19 (.46-3.12)0.74 (.31-1.77)0.77 (.28-2.09)1.48 (.69-3.16)1.08/in (.99-1.18).09
Childhood BMI, kg/m2<15.50to 16.83to 18.23to 20.38>20.38Continuous βP
 No. of cases all reports3332352324  
  Age-ad a OR1.0 (ref)0.97 (.60-1.59)1.01 (.63-1.64)0.67 (.39-1.15)0.70 (.41-1.19)0.94/(kg/m2) (.89-.99).02
  Multiv-adjb OR1.0 (ref)1.14 (.68-1.91)1.24 (.72-2.15)0.84 (.44-1.59)0.92 (.45-1.85)0.96/(kg/m2) (.89-1.04)0.35
 No. of cases biopsy-confirmed14181979  
  Age-adja OR1.0 (ref)1.29 (.64-2.61)1.29 (.64-2.58)0.48 (.19-1.19)0.62 (.27-1.43)0.91/(kg/m2) (.84-.99).039
  Multiv-adjb OR1.0 (ref)1.32 (.63-2.75)1.30 (.60-2.85)0.47 (.17-1.32)0.58 (.20-1.69)0.91/(kg/m2) (.81-1.03)0.14
Adult BMI, kg/m2<20.37to 21.79to 23.39to 26.13>26.13Continuous βP
 No. of cases all reports3825312726  
  Age-adja OR1.0 (ref)0.64+ (.39-1.07)0.74 (.46-1.20)0.67 (.41-1.11)0.63+ (.38-1.04)0.96/(kg/m2) (.92-.99).04
  Multiv-adjb OR1.0 (ref)0.66 (.39-1.12)0.79 (.46-1.34)0.77 (.43-1.38)0.79 (.41-1.52)0.98/(kg/m2) (.93-1.04).49
 No. of cases biopsy-confirmed1316141212  
  Age-adj a OR1.0 (ref)1.19 (.57-2.50)0.96 (.45-2.06)0.87 (.39-1.91)0.84 (.38-1.85)0.95/(kg/m2) (.90-1.02).14
  Multiv-adjb OR1.0 (ref)1.22 (.57-2.63)1.14 (.51-2.58)1.23 (.51-2.96)1.56 (.58-4.15)1.00/(kg/m2) (.92-1.09).98
PHV cm/y≤7.6to 8.1to 8.5to 8.9>8.9Continuous βP
 No. of cases all reports21109133  
  Age-adja OR1.0 (ref)1.26 (.59-2.72)2.04+ (.91-4.55)0.61 (.08-4.61)1.88* (1.04-3.41)1.054/(cm/y) (.98-1.14).17
  Multiv-adjc OR1.0 (ref)1.26 (.59-2.73)2.01+ (.90-4.49)0.58 (.08-4.40)1.89* (1.04-3.42)1.057/(cm/y) (.98-1.14).16
 No. of cases biopsy-confirmed1052116  
  Age-adja OR1.0 (ref)1.40 (.47-4.17)1.02 (.22-4.73)1.40 (.17-11.27)2.12+ (.90-5.00)1.05/(cm/y) (.94-1.18).37
  Multiv-adjc OR1.0 (ref)1.39 (.47-4.15)1.00 (.22-4.68)1.34 (.17-10.84)2.10+ (.89-4.96)1.054/(cm/y) (.94-1.18).36

The general trend for age at menarche was opposite what we expected, with all models hinting at either no association or greater risk of BBD for later age at menarche (Table 3). Taller women (OR, 1.61 for ≥67 inches vs ≤62 inches) appear to have elevated BBD risk, and there was a marginally significant linear trend (OR, 1.08/inch; P = .07; Table 3).

There was an inverse association between childhood BMI and BBD risk (OR, 0.91 per kg/m2; P < .04; Table 3). Girls in the top 2 quintiles of body fatness appeared to have substantially reduced risk relative to girls in the bottom 3 quintiles (OR, 0.46; 95% CI,.26-.81; P = .007). Adult BMI also appeared to be inversely associated with BBD risk, but the association was weaker (OR, 0.95/[kg/m2]; P = .14) than for childhood BMI (Table 3).

Girls with most rapid peak height growth (PHV ≥8.9 cm/year) were at increased risk for biopsy-confirmed BBD (OR, 2.12; P = .09) relative to those whose peak growth was slowest (Table 3). When all 147 reported BBD cases were analyzed, girls growing most rapidly had significantly increased risk (OR, 1.88; P = .04; Table 3). (In a separate analysis on all girls, including those who were no longer growing at baseline, we used the same model that we used earlier5 to obtain predicted PHVs (from age at menarche, childhood adiposity, and adult height) in a cohort that did not have childhood height data; GUTS girls with higher predicted PHVs had significantly greater risk of biopsy-confirmed BBD (middle 30% relative to bottom 40% [OR, 1.86; P < .05], and the top 30% compared with bottom 40% [OR, 1.95; P = .03]).

Conclusions from multivariate models are generally consistent with those from age-adjusted models (Table 3). The primary exception is, because childhood BMI is highly correlated with adult BMI (r = 0.70), the multivariate-adjusted risk for adult BMI is null (OR, 1.00/[kg/m2]; P = .98).

Although childhood BMI appeared protective, larger increases in BMI from childhood to adulthood were not (OR, 1.04/[kg/m2]; P = .37; adjusted for baseline age and mean of baseline and adult BMIs). Because childhood BMI is inversely associated with physical activity,12 we, in addition, adjusted this model for childhood physical activity (hours/day; derived from 1996 through 2001 surveys). Our BMI conclusions persisted for childhood BMI (OR, 0.92/[kg/m2]; P < .05) and for increases in BMI from baseline to adulthood, (OR, 1.04/[kg/m2]; P = .42).

Girls with later age at menarche tend to have lower peak height velocities (r = -0.12). We further fit a model including those 2 factors and baseline age; PHV was the stronger predictor of biopsy-confirmed BBD (OR, 2.09 for fastest growing girls relative to slowest with P = .09, whereas for age at menarche [modeled continuously, or categorically], all P > .16). Analyzing all reported BBD cases, PHV remained the stronger predictor of BBD (OR, 1.84; P < .05, for fastest growing girls, whereas all P > .64 for age at menarche variables).

We also estimated age-adjusted risks for continuous factors, separately for females with, and without, a maternal history of disease (BBD or breast cancer), but added caution is warranted because of smaller samples in subanalyses (Table 4). Among those without a maternal history of disease, being heavier as children and in early adulthood (aged 18-27 years) was associated with reduced risk of BBD, whereas taller adult height increased risk. Age at menarche, though not significant, had opposite effects in maternal-history groups, with an apparent protective effect only among those with a maternal history (Table 4). Interestingly, among those with a maternal history of BBD or breast cancer, PHV was significantly associated with risk (OR, 1.19/cm; P = .006). When we further studied females with maternal history of breast cancer, disregarding maternal BBD status, the magnitude of the PHV effect was stronger (OR, 1.47; P = .02; not shown).

Table 4. Age-Adjusted Odds Ratios Stratified by Maternal History of Benign Breast Disease or Breast Cancer
 No Maternal HistoryMaternal History
  1. Results reported (upper half of this table) from analyses including all reported BBD cases (n = 147 cases), whether confirmed by biopsy or not, and from analyses (lower half of this table) on biopsy-confirmed BBD cases (n = 67 cases).

  2. BBD indicates benign breast disease; BMI, body mass index.

No. of cases, all reported BBD9849
Risk factorOR95% CIPOR95% CIP
 Age at menarche1.17.99-1.38.0550.88.69-1.12.30
 Adult height1.091.01-1.17.031.01.91-1.12.86
 Childhood BMI0.93.87-.99.040.96.87-1.05.36
 Adult BMI0.95.90-.99.040.98.91-1.05.53
 Peak height velocity0.99.91-1.10.991.1941.05-1.36.006
No. of cases, biopsy-confirmed BBD4720
Risk factorOR95% CIPOR95% CIP
 Age at menarche1.16.92-1.47.200.95.66-1.38.79
 Adult height1.10.99-1.22.071.04.89-1.22.61
 Childhood BMI0.88.79-.98.020.99.86-1.14.87
 Adult BMI0.92.85-1.00.0531.01.93-1.11.77
 Peak height velocity1.01.89-1.16.851.185.97-1.45.096

DISCUSSION

To our knowledge, this is the first prospective study of factors measured during childhood and adolescence, rather than recalled later in life, and risk of BBD in young women. This work is significant because studies in the past decade have suggested that adult height,5, 24-26 height growth during ages 8-14 years,6 during ages 4-7 years and 11-15 years,7 and peak height growth velocity5, 6 are associated with increased risk of breast cancer, and benign breast disease is itself a risk factor for breast cancer. Whether the rapid growth itself or related factors, such as diet or hormones that promote growth, are cancer initiators/promoters is unknown. Prior longitudinal studies showed that high milk intake was associated with more rapid growth in the fetus and child,27-30 and in older GUTS girls, milk and dairy protein were positively associated with height growth, peak height velocity, and adult height.17 The age period studied here, 9 years to 15 years at baseline and followed up to 12 years, encompasses a critical period for exposures that may lead to the development of breast cancer and other adult diseases.

These analyses provide evidence that thinner children and taller young women are at increased risk of biopsy-confirmed BBD. Higher adult BMI was not significantly protective, indicating that detection bias is not responsible for these findings, and larger increases in BMI during adolescence were also not protective. Our findings on age at menarche were unexpected, for we did not observe that girls with later menarche had lower BBD risk. Girls with more intense height growth spurts (PHV) were at higher risk for BBD, particularly those with a maternal history (BBD, breast cancer).

There are few prior studies relating early factors to BBD; 1 study, in which childhood body size was recalled in adulthood, found that being heavier in childhood is inversely associated with risk of proliferative BBD.31 Although we do not yet have BBD histologic subtype data and have included both nonproliferative and proliferative cases in these analyses, there is likely heterogeneity in the effects that we were unable to assess.

Our estimated associations between these risk factors and BBD are, on the whole, consistent with our earlier findings on these same factors and breast cancer in a different longitudinal study (NHS).5 That cohort of women, when aged 30 years and older, recalled their age at menarche and body fatness at ages 10 years and 20 years, and provided their adult heights. Similar to our BBD findings, being slimmer at age10 years and taller in adulthood were associated with elevated risk of breast cancer, as was more rapid peak height growth. That work similarly found that increasing body fatness from childhood up to adulthood was not protective against breast cancer. The 1 discrepancy between these BBD and our earlier breast cancer5 conclusions was age at menarche; in the NHS cohort, later age at menarche was significantly associated with lower risk of premenopausal and postmenopausal breast cancer. But more recent analyses of the NHS data have revealed that women with BBD are not protected against breast cancer by later menarche, although women without BBD are.32 Moreover, younger women with biopsy-confirmed BBD are more likely to have nonproliferative BBD,33 and women with nonproliferative BBD are at higher risk of breast cancer with later age at menarche.33 When viewed in light of these findings, our BBD results appear more consistent with the breast cancer literature. Others have concluded that the relation between age at menarche and breast cancer requires further research.24

Our results on childhood BMI and adult height may be explained by mammographic density, which in young women (aged 15-30 years) was inversely related to age and weight, and positively related to a woman's own height and her mother's mammographic density.34 Another study found that postmenopausal levels of prolactin, which may increase risk of breast cancer, were lower among women who were heavier in childhood (ages 5 and 10 years), but there was no association with height.35 Greater childhood adiposity, but not adult height, was also associated with lower IGF-I levels in premenopausal women.36

The longitudinal design of this investigation is a strength because height, weight, and menarche data were collected many years before the collection of BBD data in this large cohort of females from all over the United States. Our study findings should be more valid than associations obtained from childhood exposures that are recalled decades later, often after disease diagnosis as in case-control studies. Although we controlled for age in all models and included other potential confounding variables in multivariate models (adolescent drinking, pregnancy, and maternal disease history), some residual and unmeasured confounding may remain. We cannot exclude the possibility of incomplete adjustment of some covariates or confounding through variables not considered, but little is known about childhood/adolescent risk factors for BBD. Although our cohort is not representative of US females, the comparison of risks within our cohort should still be valid and generalizable.37 Because participants are daughters of nurses, this reduces confounding by socioeconomic and other unmeasured factors, while enhancing the accuracy of the information provided. But the racial/ethnic makeup of our cohort (95% white non-Hispanic) hinders generalization to other races.

A major limitation was the necessity to collect data by self-report on (paper and web-based) questionnaires, but with our large, geographically dispersed cohort, alternatives were not feasible. We cited a validation study demonstrating that young women who reported BBD confirmed by biopsy were very reliable,13 so most of our conclusions were based upon those disease reports, but further including those not confirmed by biopsy generally provided similar findings. Reporting errors in childhood height, weight, and menarche are likely nondifferential with respect to BBD status later on, resulting in underestimates of true associations. Although not shown here, conclusions regarding childhood body fatness were similar when measured in different ways (BMI near menses-onset, BMI at age 14, pictograms on 1996 survey, waist circumferences on 2000 survey). And conclusions regarding adult height were similar when we analyzed height at age 14 years, when most girls have stopped growing (not shown).

In summary, these data suggest that girls who were slimmer as children and girls who became taller women are at greater risk of BBD as young women, consistent with many earlier studies that found similar associations with breast cancer in women. But contrary to our expectations, later age at menarche was not generally protective against BBD, consistent with another study33 finding that women with BBD are not protected against breast cancer by later menarche. After taking childhood BMI into account, higher adult BMI was not protective against BBD, nor were greater increases in BMI during adolescence. More rapid height growth spurts may increase the risk of BBD, as has been shown for breast cancer.5-6 Future work will investigate whether the rapid growth itself, or certain foods or beverages that promote more rapid growth,17 are responsible for the elevated risk.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURES

This study was supported by a grant from The Breast Cancer Research Foundation (New York, NY) and by DK46834 from the National Institutes of Health (Bethesda, Md). Dr. Frazier was supported by an award from the American Institute for Cancer Research. Dr. Colditz was supported, in part, by an American Cancer Society Clinical Research Professorship.

Ancillary