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Figure S1. Drought history and details of the 2010–2011 drought event near Jarrahdale in Australia's south west.

Figure S2. Comparison of four GCMs and three scenarios for different sites across Australia.

Table S1. Details of the 15 documented die-off sites used in this study (sorted by climate wetness; precipitation divided by potential evaporation).

Table S2. Statistical parameter estimates from the joint distribution selection routine including; the log likelihood ratio, tau and degrees of freedom.

Table S3. Percentage change in drought attributes between observed data perturbed by temperature change (based on CSIRO Mk 3.5, A2 SRES scenario, ~1.44°C change from 2010 climate) relative to observed data (1961–2010) for all documented die-off sites.

Table S4. Percentage change in drought attributes between observed data perturbed by precipitation change (based on CSIRO Mk 3.5, A2 SRES scenario) relative to observed data (1961–2010) for all documented die-off sites.

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