SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

References

  • Albright, T. P., A. M. Pidgeon, C. D. Rittenhouse, M. K. Clayton, C. H. Flather, P. D. Culbert, B. D. Wardlow, and V. C. Radeloff. 2010. Effects of drought on avian community structure. Glob. Change Biol. 16:21582170.
  • Anderson, R. P., D. Lew, and A. T. Peterson. 2003. Evaluating predictive models of species’ distributions: criteria for selecting optimal models. Ecol. Modell. 162:211232.
  • Austin, G. E., and M. M. Rehfisch. 2005. Shifting nonbreeding distributions of migratory fauna in relation to climatic change. Glob. Change Biol. 11:3138.
  • Barrett, G., A. Silcocks, B. Simon, R. Cunningham, and R. Poulter. 2003. The new atlas of Australian birds. Royal Australasian Ornithologists Union, Melbourne .
  • Beaumont, L. J., I. A. W. Mcallan, and L. Hughes. 2006. A matter of timing: changes in the first date of arrival and last date of departure of Australian migratory birds. Glob. Change Biol. 12:13391354.
  • Berry, S. L., and M. L. Roderick. 2006. Changing Australian vegetation from 1788 to 1988: effects of CO2 and land-use change. Aust. J. Bot. 54:325338.
  • Blakers, M., S. J. J. F. Davies, and P. N. Reilly. 1984. The atlas of Australian birds. Melbourne Univ. Press, Melbourne .
  • Brommer J. E. 2004. The range margins of northern birds shift polewards. Anna. Zool. Fenn. 41:391397.
  • Brook, B. W., H. R. Akcakaya, D. A. Keith, G. M. Mace, R. G. Pearson, and M. B. Araujo. 2009. Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions under climate change. Biol. Lett. 5:723725.
  • Chambers, L. E., L. Hughes, and M. A. Weston. 2005. Climate change and its impact on Australia's avifauna. Emu 105:120.
  • Chan, K. Y. 2001. Partial migration in Australian landbirds: a review. Emu 101:281292.
  • Christian, K., L. V. Isabelle, J. Frédéric, and D. Vincent. 2009. More species, fewer specialists: 100 years of changes in community composition in an island biogeographical study. Divers. Distrib. 15:641648.
  • Coetzee, B. W. T., M. P. Robertson, B. F. N. Erasmus, B.J. Van Rensburg, and W. Thuiller. 2009. Ensemble models predict important bird areas in southern Africa will become less effective for conserving endemic birds under climate change. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 18:701710.
  • Colwell, R. K., G. Brehm, C. L. Cardelus, A. C. Gilman, and J. T. Longino. 2008. Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics. Science 322:258261.
  • Cotton, P. A. 2003. Avian migration phenology and global climate change. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 100:1221912222.
  • Cubash, U., G. A. Meehl, G. J. Boer, R. J. Stouffer, M. Dix, A. Noda, C. A. Senior, and S. Raper. 2001. Projections of future climate change. Pp. 525582 in J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C. A. Johnson, eds. Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge , U.K.
  • Deutsch, C. A., J. J. Tewksbury, R. B. Huey, K. S. Sheldon, C. K. Ghalambor, D. C. Haak, and P. R. Martin. 2008. Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 105:66686672.
  • Devictor, V., R. Julliard, D. Couvet, and F. Jiguet. 2008. Birds are tracking climate warming, but not fast enough. Proc. R. Soc. B 275:27432748.
  • Dunlop, J. N., and R.D. Wooller. 1986. Range extensions and the breeding seasons of seabirds in south-western Australia. Record. West. Aust. Mus. 12:389394.
  • Early, R., and D. F. Sax. 2011. Analysis of climate paths reveals potential limitations on species range shifts. Ecol. Lett. 14:11251133.
  • Elith, J., C. H. Graham, R. P. Anderson, M. Dudík, S. Ferrier, A. Guisan, R. J. Hijmans, and F. Huettmann. 2006. Novel methods improve prediction of species’ distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29:129151.
  • Environment Australia. 2000. Revision of the Interim Biogeographic Regionalisation of Australia (IBRA) and the Development of Version 5.1. – Summary Report. Department of Environment and Heritage, Canberra .
  • Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act. 1999. Australian Government Department of Sustainability Environment Water Population and Communities, Canberra .
  • Environmental Protection Agency. 2004. WildNet (Database). Environmental Protection Agency, Brisbane . Available from http://www.derm.qld.gov.au/wildlife-ecosystems/wildlife/wildlife_online/index.html.
  • Felderhof, L., and D. Gillieson. 2006. Comparison of fire patterns and fire frequency in two tropical savanna bioregions. Austral Ecol. 31:736746.
  • Fensham, R. J., J. E. Holman, and M. J. Cox. 1999. Plant species responses along a grazing disturbance gradient in Australian grassland. J. Veg. Sci. 10:7786.
  • Franklin, D., P. Whitehead, G. Pardon, J. Matthews, P. Mcmahon, and D. Mcintyre. 2005. Geographic patterns and correlates of the decline of granivorous birds in northern Australia. Wildl. Res. 32:399408.
  • Franklin, D. C. 1999. Evidence of disarray amongst granivorous bird assemblages in the savannas of northern Australia, a region of sparse human settlement. Biol. Conserv. 90:5363.
  • Garnett, S. T., and G. M. Crowley. 2002. Recovery Plan for the golden-shouldered parrot Psephotus chrysopterygius 2003–2007. in Report to Environment Australia. Canberra, Queensland Parks and Wildlife Service, Brisbane .
  • Grant, I., D. Jones, W. Wang, R. Fawcett, and D. Barratt. 2008. Meteorological and remotely sensed datasets for hydrological modelling: a contribution to the Australian Water Availability Project. 14.
  • Grinnell, J. 1917. Field tests of theories concerning distributional control. Am. Nat. 51:115128.
  • Hawke, A. 2009. The Australian Environment Act – Report of the Independent Review of the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999. Australian Government Department of the Environment, Water, Heritage and the Arts, Canberra .
  • Higgins, P. J. 1999. Handbook of Australian, New Zealand, and Antarctic Birds. Vol. 4. Parrots to dollarbird. Oxford Univ. Press, Melbourne .
  • Higgins, P. J., and S. J. J. F. Davies. 1996. Handbook of Australian, New Zealand, and Antarctic Birds. Vol. 3. Snipe to pigeons. Oxford Univ. Press, Melbourne .
  • Higgins, P. J., and J. M. Peter. 2002. Handbook of Australian, New Zealand, and Antarctic Birds. Vol. 6. Pardalotes to Shrike-thrushes. Oxford Univ. Press, Melbourne .
  • Higgins, P. J., J. M. Peter, and W. K. Steele. 2001. Handbook of Australian, New Zealand, and Antarctic Birds. Vol. 5. Tyrant-flycatchers to chats. Oxford Univ. Press, Melbourne .
  • Higgins, P. J., J. M. Peter, and S. J. Cowling. 2006. Handbook of Australian, New Zealand, and Antarctic Birds. Vol. 7. Boatbill to starlings. Oxford Univ. Press, Melbourne .
  • Hilbert, D. W., M. Bradford, T. Parker, and D. A. Westcott. 2004. Golden Bowerbird (Prionodura newtonia) habitat in past, present and future climates: predicted extinction of a vertebrate in tropical highlands due to global warming. Biological Conservation 116:367377.
  • Hutchinson, M. F., D. J. Houlder, H. A. Nix, and J. P. Mcmahon. 2000. ANUCLIM user's guide Version 5.1. Centre for Resource and Environmental Studies, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia .
  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2007a. The physical basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge , U.K .
  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2007b. Climate Change 2007 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge , U.K .
  • IUCN. 2001. IUCN Red List Categories and Criteria: Version 3.1. IUCN. Gland , Switzerland .
  • Jetz, W., and C. Rahbek. 2002. Geographic range size and determinants of avian species richness. Science 297:15481551.
  • Jones, D. A., W. Wang, and R. Fawcett. 2007. Climate Data for the Australian Water Availability Project: Final Milestone Report. National Climate Centre, Australian Bureau of Meteorology.
  • Kearney, M., and W. Porter. 2009. Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges. Ecol. Lett. 12:334350.
  • Le Roux, P. C., and M. A. Mcgeoch. 2008. Rapid range expansion and community reorganization in response to warming. Glob. Change Biol. 14:29502962.
  • Lehmann, C. E. R., S. A. Archibald, W. A. Hoffmann, and W. J. Bond. 2011. Deciphering the distribution of the savanna biome. New Phytol. 191:197209.
  • Ling, C. X., J. Huang, and H. Zhang. 2003. AUC: a better measure than accuracy in comparing learning algorithms. Pp. 329341 in Y. Xiang, and B. Chaib-draa, eds. Advances in artificial intelligence. Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg .
  • Mac Nally, R., A. F. Bennett, J. R. Thomson, J. Q. Radford, G. Unmack, G. Horrocks, and P. A. Vesk. 2009. Collapse of an avifauna: climate change appears to exacerbate habitat loss and degradation. Divers. Distrib. 15:720730.
  • Malcolm, J. R., C. R. Liu, R. P. Neilson, L. Hansen, and L. Hannah. 2006. Global warming and extinctions of endemic species from biodiversity hotspots. Conserv. Biol. 20:538548.
  • Marchant, S., and P. J. Higgins. 1990. Handbook of Australian, New Zealand, and Antarctic Birds. Vol. 1. Ratites to ducks. Oxford Univ. Press, Melbourne .
  • Marchant, S., and P. J. Higgins. 1993. Handbook of Australian, New Zealand, and Antarctic Birds. Vol. 2. Raptors to lapwings. Oxford Univ. Press, Melbourne .
  • Marini, M., M. Barbet-Massin, L. E. Lopes, and F. Jiguet. 2009. Major current and future gaps of Brazilian reserves to protect Neotropical savanna birds. Biol. Conserv. 142:30393050.
  • Martinez-Morales, M. A., I. Zuria, L. Chapa-Vargas, I. Macgregor-Fors, R. Ortega-Alvarez, E. Romero-Aguila, and P. Carbo. 2010. Current distribution and predicted geographic expansion of the Rufous-backed Robin in Mexico: a fading endemism?Divers. Distrib. 16:786797.
  • Mathieson, M. T., G.C. Smith. 2009. National recovery plan for the buff-breasted button-quail Turnix olivii. Report to Department of the Environment, Water, Heritage and the Arts, Canberra. Department of Environment and Resource Management, Brisbane .
  • Menéndez, R., A. G. Megías, J. K. Hill, B. Braschler, S. G. Willis, Y. Collingham, R. Fox, and D. B. Roy. 2006. Species richness changes lag behind climate change. Proc. R. Soc. B 273:14651470.
  • Midgley, G. F., G. O. Hughes, W. Thuiller, and A. G. Rebelo. 2006. Migration rate limitations on climate change-induced range shifts in Cape Proteaceae. Divers. Distrib. 12:555562.
  • Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. 2005. Ecosystems and human well-being: synthesis. Island Press, Washington, DC and Covelo, CA .
  • Mott, J. J., J. Williams, M. H. Andrew, and A. N. Gillison. 1985. Australian savanna ecosystems. Pp. 5682 in J. C. Tothill, and J. J. Mott, eds. Ecology and management of the world's savannas. Australian Academy of Science, Canberra .
  • Murphy, S. A., and S. M. Legge. 2007. The gradual loss and episodic creation of Palm Cockatoo (Probosciger aterrimus) nest-tree in a fire- and cyclone-prone habitat. Emu 107:16.
  • Nakicenovic, N., J. Alcamo, G. Davis, B. De Vries, J. Fenhann, S. Gaffin, K. Gregory, and A. Grübler. 2000. Emissions scenarios. Pp. 570 in N. Nakicenovic, and R. Swart. Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge .
  • Nature Conservation Act. 1992. Queensland Parliamentary Counsel  , ed. Reprint No. 6D. Brisbane, Australia .
  • Parmesan, C., and G. Yohe. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421:3742.
  • Pearson, R. G. 2006. Climate change and the migration capacity of species. Trend Ecol. Evol. 21:111113.
  • Perry, J., A. Fisher, and C. Palmer. 2011. Status and habitat of the Carpentarian Grasswren (Amytornis dorotheae) in the northern territory. Emu 111:155161.
  • Phillips, S. J., and M. Dudik. 2008. Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography 31:161175.
  • Phillips, S. J., R. P. Anderson, and R. E. Schapire. 2006. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecol. Modell. 190:231259.
  • Pounds, J. A., M. P. L. Fogden, and J. H. Campbell. 1999. Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain. Nature 398:611615.
  • Raupach, M. R., G. Marland, P. Ciais, C. Le Quéré, J. G. Canadell, G. Klepper, and C. B. Field. 2007. Global and regional drivers of accelerating CO2 emissions. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 104:1028810293.
  • Reid, J. 2003. What's the link, if any, between recent changes in distribution of Australian birds and greenhouse climate change?Pp. 3739 in M. Howden, L. Hughes, M. Dunlop, I. Zethoven, D. W. Hilbert, and C. R. Chilcott, eds. Climate change impacts on biodiversity in Australia: outcomes of a workshop sponsored by the Biological Diversity Advisory Committee, 1–2 October. 2002. CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems, Canberra .
  • Reside, A. E., J. J. Vanderwal, A. S. Kutt, and G. C. Perkins. 2010. Weather, not climate, defines distributions of vagile bird species. PLoS One 5:e13569.
  • Ritchie, E. G., and E. E. Bolitho. 2008. Australia's savanna herbivores: bioclimatic distributions and an assessment of the potential impact of regional climate change. Physiol. Biochem. Zool. 81:880890.
  • Root, T. 1988. Energy constraints on avian distributions and abundances. Ecology 69:330339.
  • Rowley, I., and E. Russell. 1993. The purple-crowned fairy-wren Malurus coronatus. II. Breeding biology, social organization, demography and management. Emu 93:235250.
  • Rowley, I., and E. Russell. 2002. A population study of the blue-breasted fairy-wren, Malurus pulcherrimus, at Dryandra, Western Australia. Emu 102:127135.
  • Rubel, F., and M. Kottek. 2010. Observed and projected climate shifts 1901–2100 depicted by world maps of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Meteorol. Zeitschrift 19:135141.
  • Russell-Smith, J. 2002. Pre-contact Aboriginal, and contemporary fire regimes of the savanna landscapes of northern Australia: patterns, changes and ecological processes. in J. Russell-Smith, R. Craig, A. M. Gill, R. Smith, and J. Williams, eds. Australian fire regimes: Contemporary patterns (April 1998-March 2000) and changes since European settlement. Australia State of the Environment Second Technical Paper Series (Biodiversity), Department of the Environment and Heritage, Canberra .
  • Schodde, R. 1981. Bird communities of the Australian mallee: composition, derivation, distribution, structure and seasonal cycles. Pp. 387415 in F. di Castri, D. W. Goodall, and R. L. Specht, eds. Mediterranean-type shrublands. Elsevier Scientific, New York .
  • Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity. 2010. Global Biodiversity Outlook 3.94, Montréal , Quebec , Cananda .
  • Şekercioğlu, Ç. H. 2007. Conservation ecology: area trumps mobility in fragment bird extinctions. Curr. Biol. 17:R283R286.
  • Shoo, L. P. 2005. Predicting and detecting the impacts of climate change on montane fauna in Australian tropical rainforests. Unpublished Ph.D. diss., Griffith University , Gold Coast .
  • Shoo, L. P., C. Storlie, J. Vanderwal, J. Little, and S. E. Williams. 2011. Targeted protection and restoration to conserve tropical biodiversity in a warming world. Glob. Change Biol. 17:186193.
  • Smithers, B. V., D. R. Peck, A. K. Krockenberger, and B. C. Congdon. 2003. Elevated sea-surface temperature, reduced provisioning and reproductive failure of wedge-tailed shearwaters (Puffinus pacificus) in the southern Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Mar. Freshwater Res. 54:973977.
  • Swets, J. 1988. Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science 240:12851293.
  • Thomas, C. D., and J. J. Lennon. 1999. Birds extend their ranges northwards. Nature 399:213213.
  • Thomas, C. D., A. Cameron, R. E. Green, M. Bakkenes, L. J. Beaumont, Y. C. Collingham, B. F. N. Erasmus, and M.F. De Siqueira. 2004. Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427:145148.
  • Tingley, M. W., W. B. Monahan, S. R. Beissinger, and C. Moritz. 2009. Birds track their Grinnellian niche through a century of climate change. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 106:1963719643.
  • Vanderwal, J., L. P. Shoo, C. Graham, and S. E. William. 2009a. Selecting pseudo-absence data for presence-only distribution modeling: how far should you stray from what you know?Ecol. Modell. 220:589594.
  • Vanderwal, J., L. P. Shoo, C. N. Johnson, and S. E. Williams. 2009b. Abundance and the environmental niche: environmental suitability estimated from niche models predicts the upper limit of local abundance. Am. Nat. 174:282291.
  • Vanderwal, J., L. Beaumont, N. E. Zimmermann, and P. Lorch. 2011. Package ‘climates’: methods for working with weather and climate. Available from http://www.rforge.