Climate change and the population collapse during the “Great Famine” in pre-industrial Europe
Article first published online: 2 JAN 2014
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Ecology and Evolution
Volume 4, Issue 3, pages 284–291, February 2014
How to Cite
Ecology and Evolution 2014; 4(3):284–291
- Issue published online: 4 FEB 2014
- Article first published online: 2 JAN 2014
- Manuscript Accepted: 29 NOV 2013
- Manuscript Revised: 27 NOV 2013
- Manuscript Received: 24 OCT 2013
|ece3936-sup-0001-FigS1.jpg||image/jpg||52K||Figure S1. Human population dynamics in pre-industrial Western Europe (AD 800–1800); the time series of population size estimated from McEvedy and Jones (1978) are showed (blue closed dots) together with the interpolated data at 50 year time step intervals (red closed dots; see material and methods). a) Western Europe (Russia excluded; b) British Islands; c) Scandinavian region; d) France; e) Belgium and Netherlands; f) Germany; g) Spain and h) Italy.|
|ece3936-sup-0002-FigS2.jpg||image/jpg||61K||Figure S2. Comparison of observed human per capita population growth rates (solid dots) for the period AD 800–1550 with predictions from the models fitted to the data (Table S1). Blue lines are the predictions of logistic population growth models with non-additive (lateral) effects of direct temperatures (dotted lines) and non-additive (lateral) effects of direct and lagged temperatures (solid lines); a) France; b) Germany and c) Spain.|
|ece3936-sup-0003-TableS1.docx||Word document||42K||Table S1. Population dynamic models for the preindustrial European Population (800–1800 AD/800–1550 AD) using a pure exponential model with additive effects of temperature and the exponential form of logistic growth with lateral effects of temperature (Royama 1992); parameter values are given in the equations.|
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