FIGHTING TRANSIENT EPIDEMICS—OPTIMAL VACCINATION SCHEDULES BEFORE AND AFTER AN OUTBREAK

Authors


  • This paper contains original unpublished work that has not been submitted or published elsewhere. The technical appendix does contain material that is similar to the material found in other technical appendices in articles by the author.

Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research, Gaustadalléen 21, N-0349 Oslo, Norway. E-mail: eric.navdal@frisch.uio.no

SUMMARY

Epidemic diseases afflict all countries, and all epidemics are costly to society. The present paper examines optimal vaccination trajectories before and after an outbreak of a special class of epidemics where the disease normally eradicates itself. The focus is on epidemics where mortality may be ignored, influenza being the prime example. One important insight is that there may be increasing returns to scale in vaccination. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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