Daily pan evaporation modelling using multi-layer perceptrons and radial basis neural networks

Authors

  • Özgür Kişi

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    1. Erciyes University, Engineering Faculty, Civil Eng. Dept., Hydraulics Division, 38039, Kayseri, Turkey
    • Erciyes University, Engineering Faculty, Civil Eng. Dept., Hydraulics Division, 38039, Kayseri, Turkey.
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Abstract

This paper reports on investigations of the abilities of three different artificial neural network (ANN) techniques, multi-layer perceptrons (MLP), radial basis neural networks (RBNN) and generalized regression neural networks (GRNN) to estimate daily pan evaporation. Different MLP models comprising various combinations of daily climatic variables, that is, air temperature, solar radiation, wind speed, pressure and humidity were developed to evaluate the effect of each of these variables on pan evaporation. The MLP estimates are compared with those of the RBNN and GRNN techniques. The Stephens-Stewart (SS) method is also considered for the comparison. The performances of the models are evaluated using root mean square errors (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and determination coefficient (R2) statistics. Based on the comparisons, it was found that the MLP and RBNN computing techniques could be employed successfully to model the evaporation process using the available climatic data. The GRNN was found to perform better than the SS method. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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