The long-run impact of coups on Fiji's economy: evidence from a computable general equilibrium model
Version of Record online: 30 MAY 2006
Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Journal of International Development
Volume 19, Issue 2, pages 149–160, March 2007
How to Cite
Narayan, P. K. and Prasad, B. C. (2007), The long-run impact of coups on Fiji's economy: evidence from a computable general equilibrium model. J. Int. Dev., 19: 149–160. doi: 10.1002/jid.1296
- Issue online: 23 FEB 2007
- Version of Record online: 30 MAY 2006
- computable General Equilibrium Model
Coups have been used as a weapon to overthrow democratic governments in Fiji since 1987. The post-1987 period has been one of the most volatile ones in Fiji's history, in that it has undergone 15 changes in government. In this paper, we analyse the long run economy-wide impact of the May 2000 coup on Fiji's economy. This goal is achieved by using the computable general equilibrium model, which is at the forefront of ‘impact studies’. We find that coups will have an adverse impact on the Fijian economy: real GDP will fall by around 8 per cent, real national welfare will fall by around 7 per cent and real consumption will fall by around 2 per cent in the long-run. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.