Research Article

You have full text access to this OnlineOpen article

Correlations between sea-surface temperatures and warm season streamflow in northwest Mexico

  1. David J. Gochis1,*,
  2. Luis Brito-Castillo2,
  3. W. James Shuttleworth3

Article first published online: 6 DEC 2006

DOI: 10.1002/joc.1436

Issue

International Journal of Climatology

International Journal of Climatology

Volume 27, Issue 7, pages 883–901, 15 June 2007

Additional Information

How to Cite

Gochis, D. J., Brito-Castillo, L. and James Shuttleworth, W. (2007), Correlations between sea-surface temperatures and warm season streamflow in northwest Mexico. Int. J. Climatol., 27: 883–901. doi: 10.1002/joc.1436

Author Information

  1. 1

    National Center for Atmospheric Research†, Boulder, CO, USA

  2. 2

    Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas del Noroeste (CIBNOR), Guaymas, Sonora, México

  3. 3

    Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA

*NCAR/RAP, Boulder, CO 80307-3000, USA.

Publication History

  1. Issue published online: 16 MAY 2007
  2. Article first published online: 6 DEC 2006
  3. Manuscript Accepted: 2 SEP 2006
  4. Manuscript Revised: 30 AUG 2006
  5. Manuscript Received: 1 MAR 2006

Funded by

  • NOAA Office of Global Programs. Grant Numbers: NA16GP2002, NA030AR4310073
  • National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory

SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

ARTICLE TOOLS

Get PDF (1800K)

REFERENCES

  • Adams DK, Comrie AC. 1997. The North American monsoon. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78: 2197–2213.
  • BANDAS. 1998. Bancos Nacional de Datos de Aguas Superficiales, Comission Nacional del Agua (CNA) y Instituto Mexicano de Tecnologia del Agua (IMTA), CD-ROM.
  • Barlow MS, Nigam S, Berbery EH. 1998. Evolution of the North American monsoon system. Journal of Climate 11: 2197–2257.
  • Bosilovich MG, Sud YC, Schubert SD, Walker GK. 2003. Numerical simulation of the large-scale North American monsoon water sources. Journal of Geophysical Research 108(D16): 8614, Doi:10.1029/2002JD003095.
  • Brito-Castillo L, Leyva-Contreras A, Douglas AV, Lluch-Belda D. 2002. Pacific-decadal oscillation and the filled capacity of dams on the rivers of the Gulf of California continental watershed. Atmósfera 15: 121–138.
  • Brito-Castillo L, Douglas AV, Layva-Contreras A, Lluch-Belda D. 2003. The effect of large-scale circulation on precipitation and streamflow in the Gulf of California watershed. International Journal of Climatology 23: 751–768.
    Direct Link:
  • Castro CL, McKee TB, Pielke RA. 2001. The relationship of the North American monsoon to tropical and North Pacific sea surface temperatures as revealed by observational analyses. Journal of Climate 14(24): 4449–4473.
  • Cavazos T, Hastenrath S. 1990. Convection and rainfall over Mexico and their modulation by the Southern Oscillation. International Journal of Climatology 10: 377–386.
    Direct Link:
  • Cayan DR, Webb RH. 1992. El Niño/Southern oscillation and stream flow in the western United States. In El Niño: Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation, DiazH, MarkgrafV (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; 29–68.
  • Cayan DR, Redmind KT, Riddle LG. 1999. ENSO and hydrologic extremes in the western United States. Journal of Climate 12: 2881–2893.
  • Comrie AC, Glenn EC. 1998. Principal components-based regionalization of precipitation regimes across the southwest United States and northern México, with an application to monsoon precipitation variability. Climate Research 10: 201–215.
  • Douglas MW, Maddox RA, Howard K, Reyes S. 1993. The Mexican monsoon. Journal of Climate 6: 1665–1677.
  • Englehart PJ, Douglas AV. 2002. México's summer rainfall patterns: an analysis of regional modes and changes in their teleconnectivity. Atmósfera 15: 147–164.
  • Englehart PJ, Douglas AV. 2006. Defining intraseasonal rainfall variability within the North American monsoon. Journal of Climate 19: 4243–4253.
  • Gochis DJ, Shuttleworth WJ, Yang Z-L. 2003. The hydrometeorological response of the North American monsoon to convective parameterization. Journal of Hydromet 4: 235–250.
  • Gochis DJ, Brito-Castillo L, Shuttleworth WJ. 2006a. Hydroclimatology of the North American monsoon region in northwest México. Journal of Hydrology 316: 53–70.
  • Gochis DJ, Watts CJ, César-Rodriguez J, Garatuza-Payán J. 2006b. Spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation intensity as observed by the NAME event rain gauge network from 2002 to 2004. Journal of Climate, in press.
  • Gochis DJ, Jimenez A, Watts CJ, Garatuza-Payán J, Shuttleworth WJ. 2004. Analysis of 2002 and 2003 warm-season precipitation from the North American monsoon experiment event rain gauge network. Monthly Weather Review 132: 2938–2953.
  • Grantz, Rajagopalan KB, Clark M, Zagona E. 2006. Spatio-temporal variability of the North American Monsoon. Journal of Climate, in press.
  • Gutzler DS. 2000. Covariability of spring snowpack and summer rainfall across the southwest United States. Journal of Climate 13: 4018–4027.
  • Gutzler DS. 2004. An index of interannual precipitation variability in the core of the North American monsoon region. Journal of Climate 17: 4473–4480.
  • Gutzler DS, Kann DM, Thornbrugh C. 2002. Modulation of ENSO-based long-lead outlooks of southwestern U.S. winter precipitation by the Pacific decadal oscillation. Weather and Forecasting 17: 1163–1172.
  • Helsel DR, Hirsch RM. 1991. Statistical Methods in Water Resources. Elsevier Science Publishers: New York; 522.
  • Higgins RW, Shi W. 2001. Intercomparison of the principal modes of interannual and intraseasonal variability of the North American monsoon system. Journal of Climate 14: 403–417.
  • Higgins RW, Janowiak JE, Yao Y. 1996. A Gridded Hourly Precipitation Data Base for the United States (1963–1993). NCEP/Climate Prediction Center ATLAS 1, 47.
  • Higgins RW, Yao Y, Wang X. 1997. Influence of the North American monsoon system on the U.S. summer precipitation regime. Journal of Climate 10: 2600–2622.
  • Higgins RW, Mo KC, Yao Y. 1998. Interannual variability of the U.S. summer precipitation regime with emphasis on the southwestern monsoon. Journal of Climate 11: 2582–2606.
  • Higgins RW, Chen Y, Douglas AV. 1999. Interannual variability of the North American warm season precipitation regime. Journal of Climate 12: 653–680.
  • Higgins RW, Douglas A, Hahmann A, Berbery EH, Gutzler D, Shuttleworth J, Stensrud D, Amador J, Carbone R, Cortez M, Douglas M, Lobato R, Meitin J, Ropelewski C, Schemm J, Schubert S, Zhang CD. 2003. Progress in pan American CLIVAR research: the North American monsoon system. Atmosfera 16(1): 29–65.
  • Hu Q, Feng S. 2002. Interannual rainfall variations in the North American summer monsoon region: 1900–1998. Journal of Climate 15: 1189–1202.
  • INEGI. 1993. Estudio Hidrologico del Estado de Sonora. Instituto Nacional Estadistica, Geogrifia e Informatica. Aguascalientes, Ags.: México; 185.
  • Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Jenne R, Joseph D. 1996. The NCEP/NCAR reanalysis 40-year project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 77: 437–471.
  • Koehler RB. 2004. Raster-based analysis and visualization of hydrological time-series, Ph.D. Dissertation, U. Arizona, 189.
  • Livezey RE, Chen WY. 1983. Statistical field significance and its determination by Monte Carlo techniques. Monthly Weather Review 11: 46–59.
  • Magaña VO, Pérez JL, Vázquez JL, Crrisoza E, Pérez J. 1999. Ch. 2 El Niño y el clima. In Los Impactos de El Niño en México, MagañaV (ed.). Dirección General de Protección Civil Secretaría de Gobernación; 229.
  • Mantua NJ, Hare SR, Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Francis RC. 1997. A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78: 1069–1079.
  • Matsui T, Lakshmi V, Small E. 2003. Links between snow cover, surface skin temperature, and rainfall variability in the North American monsoon system. Journal of Climate 16: 1821–1829.
  • McCabe GJ, Dettinger MD. 1999. Decadal variations in the strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the western United States. International Journal of Climatology 19: 1399–1410.
    Direct Link:
  • McCabe GJ, Palecki MA, Betancourt JL. 2004. Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 101(12): 4136–4141.
  • Mo KC, Peagle JN. 2000. Influence of sea surface temperature anomalies on the precipitation regimes over the southwest United States. Journal of Climate 13(20): 3588–3598.
  • Mosino P, Garcia E. 1974. The climate of México. World Survey of Climatology, Vol. 11, Climates of North America, BrysonRA, HareKF (eds). Elsevier: New York; 345–404.
  • NOAA/CPC. 2005. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration-Climate Prediction Center Monthly Atmospheric and SST Indices. Available online: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/.
  • Penland C, Matrosova L. 1998. Prediction of tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures using linear inverse modeling. Journal of Climate 11: 483–496.
  • Reyes S, Cadet D. 1988. The southwest branch of the North American monsoon during summer 1979. Monthly Weather Review 116: 1175–1187.
  • Reyes S, Mejía-Trejo A. 1991. Tropical perturbations in the eastern Pacific and the precipitation field over north-western México in relation to the ENSO phenomenon. International Journal of Climatology 11: 515–528.
    Direct Link:
  • Reyes S, Douglas MW, Maddox RA. 1994. El monzón del suroeste de Norteamerica (TRAVASON/SWAMP). Atmósfera 7: 117–137.
  • Reynolds RW, Smith TM. 1994. Improved global sea surface temperature analyses using optimum interpolation. Journal of Climate 7: 929–948.
  • Stewart IT, Cayan DR, Dettinger MD. 2004. Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in western North America under a ‘Business as Usual’ climate change scenario. Climatic Change 62(1–3): 217–232.
  • SYSTAT. 2000. SYSTAT Version 10, Standard Version. SPSS, Inc.
  • Tang M, Reiter ER. 1984. Plateau monsoons of the Northern hemisphere: a comparison between North America and Tibet. Monthly Weather Review 112: 617–637.
  • Trenberth KE. 1997. The definition of El Niño. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78(12): 2771–2777.
  • Trenberth KE, Stepaniak DP. 2001. Indices of El Niño evolution. Journal of Climate 14(8): 1697–1701.
  • Trenberth KE, Branstator GW, Karoly D, Kumar A, Lau N-C, Ropelewski C. 1998. Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research 103: 14291–14324.
  • von Storch H, Zwiers FW. 1999. Statistical Analysis in Climate Research. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; 483.
  • Wang G, Schimel D. 2003. Climate change, climate modes and climate impacts. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 28: 1–28, Doi: 10.1146/annurev.energy.28.050302.1050444.
  • Xie P, Arkin P. 1996. Analyses of global monthly precipitation using gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model predictions. Journal of Climate 9: 840–858.
  • Yu B, Wallace JM. 2000. The principal mode of interannual variability of the North American monsoon system. Journal of Climate 13: 2794–2800.
  • Zhu C, Lettenmaier D. 2005. Role of antecedent land surface conditions on North American monsoon rainfall variability. Journal of Climate 18(16): 3104–3121.
Get PDF (1800K)