Research Article

You have full text access to this OnlineOpen article

Recent trends in Tuscany (Italy) summer temperature and indices of extremes

  1. Giorgio Bartolini1,*,
  2. Marco Morabito1,
  3. Alfonso Crisci2,
  4. Daniele Grifoni2,
  5. Tommaso Torrigiani1,
  6. Martina Petralli1,
  7. Giampiero Maracchi2,
  8. Simone Orlandini1

Article first published online: 13 FEB 2008

DOI: 10.1002/joc.1673

Issue

International Journal of Climatology

International Journal of Climatology

Volume 28, Issue 13, pages 1751–1760, 15 November 2008

Additional Information

How to Cite

Bartolini, G., Morabito, M., Crisci, A., Grifoni, D., Torrigiani, T., Petralli, M., Maracchi, G. and Orlandini, S. (2008), Recent trends in Tuscany (Italy) summer temperature and indices of extremes. Int. J. Climatol., 28: 1751–1760. doi: 10.1002/joc.1673

Author Information

  1. 1

    Interdepartmental Centre of Bioclimatology, University of Florence, Piazzale delle Cascine 18-50144 Florence, Italy

  2. 2

    Institute of Biometeorology, IBIMET-CNR, Via G. Caproni, 8-50145 Florence, Italy

*Interdepartmental Centre of Bioclimatology, University of Florence, Piazzale delle Cascine 18-50144 Florence, Italy.

Publication History

  1. Issue published online: 16 OCT 2008
  2. Article first published online: 13 FEB 2008
  3. Manuscript Accepted: 30 NOV 2007
  4. Manuscript Revised: 3 OCT 2007
  5. Manuscript Received: 4 JAN 2007

Funded by

  • Tuscany Region
  • Servizio Sanitario Regionale

SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

ARTICLE TOOLS

Get PDF (254K)

References

  • Baldi M, Dalu G, Maracchi G, Pasqui M, Cesarone F. 2006. Heat waves in the Mediterranean: a local feature or a larger-scale effect? International Journal of Climatology 26: 1477–1487, DOI:10.1002/joc.1389.
    Direct Link:
  • Bartolini G, Morabito M, Torrigiani T, Petralli M, Cecchi L, Orlandini S. 2006. Trends in Tuscany (Italy) summer temperature and indices of extremes (1955–2004). In Proceedings of the 6th EMS (European Meteorological Society)/6th ECAC (European Conference on Applied Climatology), Ljubljana, 4–8 September.
  • Bartolini G, Puglisi A, Cecchi L, Morabito M, Torrigiani T, Petralli M, Orlandini S. 2005. 1955–2004: 50 years of Tuscany (Italy) summer temperature climatic indices. In Proceedings of the 17th International Congress of Biometeorology, Garmisch, 5–9 September. Annalen der Meteorologie 41, vol 1; 294–397.
  • Beniston M, Stephenson DB. 2004. Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic conditions. Global and Planetary Change 44: 1–9, DOI:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.001.
  • Beniston M, Rebetez M, Giorgi F, Marinucci MR. 1994. An analysis of regional climate change in Switzerland. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 49: 135–159, DOI:10.1007/BF00865530.
  • Braga AL, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J. 2001. The time course of weather related deaths. Epidemiology 12: 662–667.
  • Brazdil R, Budikova M, Auer I, Böhm R, Cegnar T, Faško P, Lapin M, Gajic-Capka M, Zaninovic K, Koleva E, Niedzwiedz T, Ustrnul Z, Szlai S, Weber RO. 1996. Trends of maximum and minimum daily temperatures in central and southeastern Europe. International Journal of Climatology 16: 765–782, DOI:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199607)16:7 < 765::AID-JOC46 > 3.0. CO;2-O.
    Direct Link:
  • Brunetti M, Maugeri M, Nanni T. 2000a. Variations of temperature and precipitation in Italy from 1866 to 1995. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 65: 165–174, DOI:10.1007/s007040070041.
  • Brunetti M, Buffoni L, Maugeri M, Nanni T. 2000b. Trends of minimum and maximum daily temperatures in Italy form 1865 to 1996. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 66: 49–60, DOI:10.1007/s007040070032.
  • Brunetti M, Maugeri M, Monti F, Nanni T. 2006. Temperature and precipitation variability in Italy in the last two centuries from homogenised instrumental time series. International Journal of Climatology 26: 345–381, DOI:10.1002/joc.1251.
    Direct Link:
  • Brunetti M, Buffoni L, Mangianti F, Maugeri M, Nanni T. 2004. Temperature, precipitation and extreme events during the last century in Italy. Global and Planetary Change 40: 141–149, DOI:10.1016/S0921-8181(03)00104-8.
  • Colacino M, Conte M. 1995. Heat waves in the Central Mediterranean. A Synoptic climatology. Il Nuovo Cimento 18 C: 295–304.
  • Dessens J, Bücher A. 1995. Changes in minimum and maximum temperatures at the Pic du Midi in relation with humidity and cloudiness, 1882–1984. Atmospheric Research 37: 147–162, DOI:10.1016/0169-8095(94)00075-O.
  • Domonkos P, Tar K. 2003. Long-term changes in observed temperature and precipitation series 1901–1998 from Hungary and their relations to larger scale changes. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 75: 131–147, DOI:10.1007/s00704-002-0716-2.
  • Domroes M, El-Tantawi A. 2005. Recent temporal and spatial temperature changes in Egypt. International Journal of Climatology 25: 51–63, DOI:10.1002/joc.1114.
    Direct Link:
  • Easterling DR, Evans JL, Groisman PYA, Karl TR, Kunkel KE, Ambenje P. 2000. Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: a brief review. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 81: 417–425, DOI:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081 < 0417: OVATIE > 2.3.CO;2.
  • Easterling DR, Horton B, Jones PD, Peterson TC, Karl TR, Parker DE, Salinger MJ, Razuvayev V, Plummer N, Jamason P, Folland CK. 1997. Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe. Science 277: 364–367, DOI:10.1126/science.277.5324.364.
  • Founda D, Papadopolous KH, Petrakis M, Giannakopolous C, Good P. 2004. Analysis of mean, maximum, minimum temperature in Athens from 1897 to 2001 with emphasis on the last decade: trends, warm events, and cold events. Global and Planetary Change 44: 27–38, DOI:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.003.
  • Frich P, Alexander LV, Della Marta P, Gleason B, Haylock M, Klein Tank AMG, Peterson T. 2002. Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Climate Research 19(3): 193–212.
  • Greenough G, McGeehin M, Bernard SM, Trtanj J, Riad J, Engelberg D. 2001. The potential impacts of climate variability and change on health impacts of extreme weather events in the United States. Environmental Health Perspectives 109(Suppl. 2): 191–198.
  • Haines A, Kovats RS, Campbell-Lendrum D, Corvalan C. 2006. Climate change and human health: impacts, vulnerability, and mitigation. Lancet 367(9528): 2101–2109, DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(06)68933-2.
  • Hamilton JM, Maddison DJ, Tol RSJ. 2005. The effects of climate change on international tourism. Climate Research 29: 245–254.
  • Horton EB, Folland CK, Parker DE. 2001. The changing incidence of extremes in worldwide and central England temperatures to the end of the twentieth century. Climatic change 50: 267–295, DOI:10.1023/A:1010603629772.
  • Huynen MM, Martens P, Schram D, Weijenberg MP, Kunst AE. 2001. The impact of heat waves and cold spells on mortality rates in the Dutch population. Environmental Health Perspectives 109(5): 463–470.
  • Jones PD. 1995. Maximum and minimum temperatures trends in Ireland, Italy, Thailand, Turkey and Bangladesh. Atmospheric Research 37: 67–78, DOI:10.1016/0169-8095(94)00069-P.
  • Kaufmann P, Weber RO. 1996. Classification of mesoscale wind fields in the MISTRAL field experiment. Journal of Applied Meteorology 35: 1963–1979, DOI:10.1175/1520-0450(1996)035 < 1963: COMWFI > 2.0.CO;2.
  • Kendall MG. 1975. Rank correlation methods, Charles Griffin, London.
  • Keatinge WR, Donaldson GC, Cordioli E, Martinelli M, Kunst AE, Mackenbach JP, Nayha S, Vuori I. 2000. Heat related mortality in warm and cold regions of Europe: observational study. British Medical Journal 321: 670–672, DOI:10.1136/bmj.321.7262.670.
  • Klein Tank AMG, Können GP. 2003. Trends in indices of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe 1946–99. Journal of Climate 16(22): 3665–3680, DOI:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016 < 3665:TIIODT > 2.0.CO;2.
  • Klein Tank AMG, Wijngaard J, Können G, Böhm R, Demareé G, Gocheva A, Mileta M, Pashiardis S, Hejkrlik L, Kern-Hansen C, Heino R, Bessemoulin P, Müller-Westermeier G, Tzanakou M, Szalai S, Palsdottir R, Fitzgerald D, Rubin S, Capaldo M, Maugeri M, Lietass A, Bukantis A, Aberfeld R, van Engelen A, Forland E, Mietus M, Coelho F, Mares C, Razuvaev V, Nieplova E, Cegnar T, Antonio Lopez J, Dahlström B, Moberg A, Kirchhofer W, Ceylan A, Pachaliuk O, Alexander L, Petrovic P. 2002. Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European Climate Assessment. International Journal of Climatology 22: 1441–1453, DOI:10.1002/joc.773.
    Direct Link:
  • Kumar VP, Bindi M, Crisci A, Maracchi G. 2005. Detection of variations in air temperature at different time scales during the period 1889–1998 at Firenze, Italy. Climatic Change 72: 123–150, DOI:10.1007/s10584-005-5970-8.
  • Maheras P, Kutiel H. 1999. Spatial and temporal variations in the temperature regime in the Mediterranean and their relationship with circulation during the last century. International Journal of Climatology 19: 745–764, DOI:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19990615)19:7 < 745::AID-JOC395 > 3.0.CO;2-2.
    Direct Link:
  • Manton MJ, Della-Marta PM, Haylock MR, Hennessy KJ, Nicholls N, Chambers LE, Collins DA, Daw G, Finet A, Gunawan D, Inape K, Isobe H, Kestin TS, Lefale P, Leyu CH, Lwin T, Maitrepierre L, Ouprasitwong N, Page CM, Pahalad J, Plummer N, Salinger MJ, Suppiah R, Tran VL, Trewin B, Tibig I, Yee D. 2001. Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature in southeast Asia and the south Pacific: 1961–1998. International Journal of Climatology 21: 269–284, DOI:10.1002/joc.610.
    Direct Link:
  • McMichael AJ, Woodruff RE, Hales S. 2006. Climate change and human health: present and future risk. Lancet 367: 859–869, DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(06)68079-3.
  • Michelozzi P, De Donato F, Bisanti L, Russo A, Cadum E, Demaria M, Ovidio M, Costa G, Perucci CA. 2005. The impact of the summer 2003 heat waves on mortality in four Italian cities. European Surveillance 10(7): 161–165, D 39.
  • Michna M, Schuepbach E. 2003. Changes in Temperature Extreme Indices in Switzerland 1958–2000, STARDEX Deliverable D9—Contribution from UNIBE.
  • Morabito M, Crisci A, Barcaioli G, Maracchi G. 2004. Climate change: the impact on tourism comfort at three italian tourist sites. In Advances in Tourism Climatology, MatzarakisA, de FreitasCR, ScottD (eds). Ber. Meteor. Inst. Univ. Freiburg; 56–65.
  • Morabito M, Modesti PA, Cecchi L, Crisci A, Orlandini S, Maracchi G, Gensini GF. 2005. Relationships between weather and myocardial infarction: a biometeorological approach. International Journal of Cardiology 105(3): 288–293, DOI:10.1016/j.ijcard. 2004.12.047.
  • New M, Hulme M, Jones P. 2000. Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part II: development of 1901–96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate. Journal of Climate 13: 2217–2238, DOI:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013 < 2217:RTCSTC> 2.0.CO;2.
  • Pascal M, Laiidi K, Ledrans M, Baffert E, Caserio-Schöneman C, Le Tertre A, Manach J, Medina S, Rudant J, Empereur Bissonet P. 2006. France's heat health watch warning system. International Journal of Biometeorology 50(3): 144–153, DOI:10.1007/s00484-005-0003-x.
  • Patz JA, Campbell-Lendrum D, Holloway T, Foley JA. 2005. Impact of regional climate change on human health. Nature 438: 310–317, DOI:10.1038/nature04188.
  • Peterson TC, Folland C, Gruza G, Hogg W, Mokssit A, Plummer N. 2001. Report of the Activities of the Working Group on Climate Change Detection and Related Rapporteurs, World Meteorological Organization Technical Document No 1071. World Meteorological Organization Geneva: Switzerland; 146.
  • Peterson TC, Easterling DR, Karl TR, Groisman P, Nicholls N, Plummer N, Torok S, Auer I, Böhm R, Gullett D, Vincent L, Heino R, Tuomenvirta H, Mestre O, Szentimrey T, Salinger J, Førland EJ, Hanssen-Bauer I, Alexandersson H, Jones P, Parker D. 1998. Homogeneity adjustments of in situ atmospheric climate data: a review. International Journal of Climatology 18: 1493–1517, DOI:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19981115)18:13 < 1493::AID-JOC329 > 3.0.CO;2-T.
    Direct Link:
  • Piccarreta M, Capolongo D, Federico B. 2004. Trend analysis of precipitation and drought in Basilicata from 1923 to 2000 within a southern Italy context. International Journal of Climatology 24(7): 907–922, DOI:10.1002/joc.1038.
    Direct Link:
  • Robinson PJ. 2001. On the definition of a heat wave. Journal of Applied Meteorology 40: 762–775, DOI:10.1175/1520-0450(2001)040 < 0762:OTDOAH > 2.0.CO;2.
  • Sen PK. 1968. Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall's tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association 63: 1379–1389.
  • Theil H. 1950. A rank-invariant method of linear and polynomial regression analysis, I, II, III. Proceedings of the Nederlandse Akademie van Wetenschappen 53: 396–392, 512–525, 1397–1412.
  • Türkes M, Sümer UM. 2004. Spatial and temporal patterns of trends and variability in diurnal temperature ranges of Turkey. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 77: 195–227, DOI:10.1007/s00704-003-0024-5.
  • Vincent LA, Peterson TC, Barros VR, Marino B, Rusticucci M, Carrasco G, Ramirez E, Alves LM, Ambrizzi T, Berlato MA, Grimm AM, Marengo A, Molion L, Moncunill DF, Rebello E, Anunciação YMT, Quintana J, Santos JL, Baez J, Coronel G, Garcia J, Trebejo I, Bidegain M, Haylock MR, Karoly D. 2005. Observed trends in indices of daily temperature extremes in South America 1960–2000. Journal of Climate 18: 5011–5023, DOI:10.1175/JCLI3589.1.
  • Vose RS, Easterling DR, Gleason B. 2005. Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: an update through 2004. Geophysical Research Letters 32(23): L23824.
  • Ward JH. 1963. Hierachical grouping to optimize an objective function. Journal of the American Statistical Association 58: 236–244.
  • Weber RO, Kaufmann P. 1995. Automated classification scheme for wind fields. Journal of Applied Meteorology 34: 1133–1141, DOI:10.1175/1520-0450(1995)034 < 1133:ACSFWF > 2.0.CO;2.
  • Yan Z, Jones PD, Davies TD, Moberg A, Bergström H, Camuffo D, Coche C, Maugeri M, Demarée GR, Verhoeve T, Thoen E, Barriendos M, Rodríguez R, Martín-Vide J, Yang C. 2002. Trends of estreme temperature in Europe and China based on daily observation. Climatic Change 53: 355–392, DOI:10.1023/A:1014939413284.
Get PDF (254K)