Research Article

You have full text access to this OnlineOpen article

Pacific and Indian Ocean climate signals in a tree-ring record of Java monsoon drought

  1. Rosanne D'Arrigo1,*,
  2. Rob Allan2,
  3. Rob Wilson3,
  4. Jonathan Palmer4,
  5. John Sakulich7,
  6. Jason E. Smerdon1,
  7. Satria Bijaksana5,
  8. La Ode Ngkoimani6

Article first published online: 28 MAR 2008

DOI: 10.1002/joc.1679

Issue

International Journal of Climatology

International Journal of Climatology

Volume 28, Issue 14, pages 1889–1901, 30 November 2008

Additional Information

How to Cite

D'Arrigo, R., Allan, R., Wilson, R., Palmer, J., Sakulich, J., Smerdon, J. E., Bijaksana, S. and Ngkoimani, L. O. (2008), Pacific and Indian Ocean climate signals in a tree-ring record of Java monsoon drought. Int. J. Climatol., 28: 1889–1901. doi: 10.1002/joc.1679

Author Information

  1. 1

    Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, USA

  2. 2

    Hadley Centre for Climate Change, UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, UK

  3. 3

    University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, UK

  4. 4

    Gondwana Tree-Ring Laboratory, PO Box 14, Little River, Canterbury 7546, New Zealand

  5. 5

    Bandung Technical University, Bandung, Indonesia

  6. 6

    Jurusan Fisika FMIPA, Universitas Haluoleo, Sulawesi, Indonesia

  7. 7

    University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee

*Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY 10964, USA.

Publication History

  1. Issue published online: 22 OCT 2008
  2. Article first published online: 28 MAR 2008
  3. Manuscript Accepted: 8 DEC 2007
  4. Manuscript Revised: 6 DEC 2007
  5. Manuscript Received: 4 JUN 2007

Funded by

  • National Science Foundation's Earth System History and Paleoclimate programs,. Grant Number: OCE-04-02474
  • European Community. Grant Number: 017008-2 MILLENNIUM
  • UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) Climate Prediction Program

SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

ARTICLE TOOLS

Get PDF (819K)

References

  • Abram N, Gagan M, McCulloch M, Chappell J, Hantoro W. 2003. Coral reef death during the 1997 Indian Ocean dipole linked to Indonesian wildfires. Science 301: 952–955.
  • Abram N, Gagan M, Liu Z, Hantoro W, McCulloch M, Suwargadi B. 2007. Seasonal characteristics of the Indian Ocean dipole during the Holocene epoch. Nature 445: 299–302.
  • Abram N, Gagan M, Liu Z, Hantoro W, McCulloch M, Suwargadi B, Chappell J. 2005. Recent evolution of tropical climate variability in the Indian Ocean region. Geophysical Research and Abstracts 7: 049302.
  • Aldrian E, Susanto D. 2003. Identification of three dominant rainfall regions within Indonesia and their relationship to sea surface temperature. International Journal of Climatology 23: 1435–1452.
    Direct Link:
  • Allan RJ. 2000. ENSO and climatic variability in the past 150 years. In ENSO: Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, DiazHF, MarkgrafV (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 3–55.
  • Allan R, D'Arrigo R. 1999. 'Persistent' ENSO sequences: how unusual was the 1990–1995 El Niño? The Holocene 9: 101–118.
  • Allan R, Ansell T. 2006. A new globally-complete monthly historical gridded sea-level pressure data set (HadSLP2): 1850–2004. Journal of Climate 19: 5816–5812.
  • Allan R, Reason C, Lindesay J, Ansell T. 2003. 'Protracted' ENSO episodes and their impacts in the Indian Ocean region. Deep-Sea Research II 50: 2331–2347.
  • Allan R, Chambers D, Drosdwosky W, Hendon H, Latif M, Nicholls N, Smith I, Stone R, Tourre Y. 2001. Is there an Indian Ocean dipole, and is it independent of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation? Climate Variability and Predictability Exchanges 6: 18–22.
  • Baquero-Bernal A, Latif M, Legutke S. 2002. On dipole-like variability in the tropical Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate 15: 1358–1368.
  • Beck C, Grieser J, Rudolf B. 2005. A new monthly precipitation climatology for the global land areas for the period 1951 to 2000. Climate Status Report 2004. German Weather Service: Offenbach, Germany; 181–190.
  • Behera S, Luo L, Masson S, Rao S, Sakuma H. 2006. A CGCM study on the interaction between IOD and ENSO. Journal of Climate 19: 1688–1705.
  • Chakraborty S. 2006. Coral records from the northern Indian ocean: understanding monsoon variability. Journal of the Geological Society India 68: 395–405.
  • Charles C, Hunter D, Fairbanks R. 1997. Interaction between the ENSO and the Asian monsoon in a coral record of tropical climate. Science 277: 925–928.
  • Charles CD, Cobb K, Moore MD, Fairbanks RG. 2003. Monsoon-tropical ocean interaction in a network of coral records spanning the 20th century. Marine Geology 201: 207–222.
  • Chenoweth M. 2001. Two major volcanic cooling episodes derived from global marine air temperature, AD 1807–1827. Geophysical Research Letters 28: 2963–2966.
  • Cole J, Dunbar R, McClanahan T, Muthiga N. 2000. Tropical Pacific forcing of decadal SST variability in the western Indian Ocean over the past two centuries. Science 287: 617–619.
  • Dai A, Trenberth K, Qian T. 2004. A global data set of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870–2002: relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. Journal of Hydrometeorology 5: 1117–1130.
  • D'Arrigo R, Wilson R, Palmer J, Krusic P, Curtis A, Sakulich J, Bijaksana S, Zulaikah S, Ngkoimani O. 2006a. Monsoon drought over Java, Indonesia during the past two centuries. Geophysical Research Letters 33: L04709, DOI:10.1029/2005GL025465.
  • D'Arrigo R, Wilson R, Palmer J, Krusic P, Curtis A, Sakulich J, Bijaksana S, Zulaikah S, Ngkoimani O, Tudhope S. 2006b. Reconstructed Indonesian warm pool SSTs from tree rings and corals: linkages with ENSO and the Asian monsoon. Paleoceanography 21: PA3005, DOI:10.1029/2005PA001256.
  • D'Arrigo R, Wilson R. El Nino and Indian Ocean influences on Indonesian drought:implications for forecasting rainfall and crop productivity. International Journal of Climatology (in press).
  • Dommenget D, Latif M. 2002. A cautionary note on the interpretation of EOFs. Journal of Climate 15: 216–225.
  • Fischer A, Terray P, Guilyardi E, Gualdi S, Delacluse P. 2005. Two independent triggers for the Indian Ocean Dipole/Zonal Mode in a coupled GCM. Journal of Climate 18: 3428–3449.
  • Fritts H. 1976. Tree Rings and Climate. Academic Press: New York.
  • Gadgil S, Vinayachandran P, Francis P, Siddhartha G. 2004. Extremes of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall, ENSO and equatorial Indian Ocean oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters 31: L12213.
  • Grinsted A, Moore J, Jevrejeva S. 2004. Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 11: 561–566.
  • Grove R. 1998. Global impact of the 1789–1793 El Niño. Nature 393: 318–319.
  • Ihara C, Kushnir Y, Cane M. Warming trend of the Indian Ocean SST and Indian Ocean Dipole from 1880 to 2004. Journal of Climate In press.
  • Ihara C, Kushnir Y, Cane M, De La Pena V. 2007. Indian summer monsoon rainfall and its links with ENSO and Indian Ocean climate anomalies. International Journal of Climatology 27: 179–187.
    Direct Link:
  • Kaplan A, Cane M, Kushnir Y, Clement A, Blumenthal M, Rajagopalan B. 1998. Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856–1991. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans 103: 18567–18589.
  • Kayanne H, Iijima H, Nakamura N, McClanahan T, Behera S, Yamagata T. 2006. Indian Ocean dipole index recorded in Kenyan coral annual density bands. Geophysical Research Letters 33: L19709, DOI:10.1029/2006GL027168.
  • Konnen G, Jones P, Kaltofen M, Allan R. 1998. Pre-1866 extensions of the Southern Oscillation index using early Indonesian and Tahitian meteorological readings. Journal of Climate 11: 2325–2339.
  • Kumar K, Rajagopalan B, Hoerling M, Bates G, Cane M. 2006. Unraveling the mystery of Indian monsoon failure During El Niño. Science 314: 115–119.
  • Mann ME, Lees J. 1996. Robust estimation of background noise and signal detection in climatic time series. Climatic Change 33: 409–445.
  • Meyers G, McIntosh P, Pigot L, Pook M. 2007. The years of El Niño, La Niña and interactions with the tropical Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate 20: 2872–2880.
  • Moore M. 1995. Proxy records of the Indonesian Low and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from stable isotope measurements of Indonesian reef corals. Ph.D. thesis, University of California at Berkeley.
  • Ortlieb L. 2000. The documented historical record of El Niño events in Peru: an update of the Quinn record (sixteenth through nineteenth centuries). In El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, DiazH, MarkgrafV (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 207–295.
  • O'Sullivan D. 1994. El Nino and the Southern Oscillation, http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/Help/ElNinoSouthernOscillation/.
  • List taken from: Mean Sea Level Pressure Indices of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: relevance to stream discharge in south-eastern Australia, April 1996. By Allan RJ, Beard GS, Close A, Herczeg AL, Jones PD, Simpson HJ. CSIRO Divisional Report 96/1 ISSN 1033 5579.
  • Pfeiffer M, Dullo W. 2006. Monsoon-induced cooling of the western equatorial Indian Ocean as recorded in coral oxygen isotope records from the Seychelles covering the period of 1840–1994 AD. Quaternary Science Reviews 25: 993–1009.
  • Pfeiffer M, Dullo W, Eisenhauer A. 2004. Variability of the intertropical convergence Zone recorded in coral isotopic records from the central Indian Ocean (Chagos Archipelago). Quaternary Research 61: 245–255.
  • Rayner N, Brohan P, Parker D, Folland C, Kennedy J, Vanicek M, Ansell T, Tett S. 2006. Improved analyses of changes and uncertainties in sea surface temperature measured in situ since the mid-nineteenth century: the HADSST2 data set. Journal of Climate 19: 446–469.
  • Reason CJC, Allan RJ, Lindesay JA, Ansell TJ. 2000. ENSO and climatic signals across the Indian Ocean basin in the global context: Part I, interannual composite patterns. International Journal of Climatology 20: 1285–1327.
    Direct Link:
  • Saji N, Yamagata T. 2003. Possible impacts of Indian Ocean Dipole mode events on global climate. Climatic Research 25: 151–169.
  • Saji N, Goswami B, Vinayachandran P, Yamagata T. 1999. A dipole mode in the tropical Indian Ocean. Nature 401: 360–363.
  • Sontakke N, Singh N. 1996. Longest instrumental and regional All-India summer monsoon rainfall series using optimum observations: reconstruction and update. The Holocene 6: 315–331.
  • Sontakke N, Pant G, Singh N. 1993. Construction of all-India summer monsoon rainfall series for the period 1844–1991. Journal of Climate 6: 1807–1811.
  • Therrell M, Stahle D, Ries L, Shugart H. 2006. Tree-ring reconstructed rainfall variability in Zimbabwe. Climate Dynamics 26: 677–685.
  • Thompson L, Yao T, Mosley-Thompson E, Davis M, Henderson K, Lin P. 2000. A high-resolution millennial record of the South Asian monsoon from Himalayan ice cores. Science 289: 1916–1919.
  • Torrence C, Compo G. 1998. A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 79: 61–78.
  • Trenberth K, Stepaniak D. 2001. Indices of El Niño evolution. Journal of Climate 14: 1697–1701.
  • Webster P, Moore A, Ioschnigg J, Leben R. 1999. Coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997–1998. Nature 401: 356–360.
  • Whetton P, Rutherford I. 1994. El Niño-Southern Oscillation teleconnections in the Eastern hemisphere over the last 500 years. Climate Change 28: 221–253.
  • Wilson R, Tudhope A, Brohan P, Briffa K, Osborn T, Tett S. 2006. Two hundred-fifty years of reconstructed and modeled tropical temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research 111: C10007, DOI:10.1029/2005JC003188.
  • Worley S, Woodruff S, Reynolds R, Lubker S, Lott N. 2005. ICOADS release 2.1 data and products. International Journal of Climatology 25: 823–842.
    Direct Link:
  • Wright PB, Mitchell TP, Wallace JM. 1985. Relationships Between Surface Observations over the Global Oceans and the Southern Oscillation. Data Report ERL PMEL-12, Seattle, NOAA.
  • Zhang C, Hendon H, Kessler W, Rosati A. 2001. A workshop on the MJO and ENSO. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82: 971–976.
  • Zinke J, Dullo W, Heiss G, Eisenhauer A. 2004. ENSO and Indian Ocean subtropical dipole variability is recorded in a coral record off southwest Madagascar for the period 1659 to 1995. Earth Planetary Science Letters 228: 177–194.
  • Zinke J, Pfeiffer M, Timm O, Dullo W, Davies G. 2005. Atmosphere-ocean dynamics in the western Indian Ocean recorded in corals. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 363: 121–142.
Get PDF (819K)