A new statistical downscaling model for autumn precipitation in China
Version of Record online: 30 MAY 2012
Copyright © 2012 Royal Meteorological Society
International Journal of Climatology
Volume 33, Issue 6, pages 1321–1336, May 2013
How to Cite
Liu, Y. and Fan, K. (2013), A new statistical downscaling model for autumn precipitation in China. Int. J. Climatol., 33: 1321–1336. doi: 10.1002/joc.3514
- Issue online: 12 APR 2013
- Version of Record online: 30 MAY 2012
- Manuscript Accepted: 1 MAY 2012
- Manuscript Revised: 22 APR 2012
- Manuscript Received: 11 JAN 2012
- 2008. Empirical Statistical Downscaling. World Scientific: New Jersy, 111. , , .
- 1992. An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns on climate data. Journal of Climate 5: 541–560. , , .
- 1999. Verification of GCM generated regional seasonal precipitation for current climate and of statistical downscaling estimates under changing climate conditions. Journal of Climate 12: 258–272. , , .
- 2003a. Spatial and temporal distribution of autumn precipitation and temperature in China and climate change. Journal of Nanjing Institute Meteorology 26: 622–630 (in Chinese). , .
- 2003b. El Nino/ENSO and climatic anomaly in the autumn of China. Journal of Tropical Meteorology 19: 137–146 (in Chinese). , .
- 2007. Regional Climate Projections, Chapter 11 of Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of WGI to the IPCC AR4, Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York. , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , .
- 2010. A study of the impact of climate change on local precipitation using statistical downscaling. Journal of Geophysical Research 115: D10105, DOI: 10.1029/2009JD012357. , .
- 2006. Studies of the relationship between southern hemispheric atmospheric circulation and climate over East Asia. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 30: 402–412 (in Chinese). , .
- 2009. A new approach to forecasting typhoon frequency over the western North Pacific. Weather and Forecasting 24: 974–986. , .
- 2010. Seasonal prediction of summer temperature over Northeast China using a year-to-year incremental approach. Acta Meteorologica Sinica 24: 269–275. , .
- 2008. A physically-based statistical forecast model for the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley summer rainfall. Chinese Science Bulletin 53: 602–609. , , .
- 2005. A method for statistical downscaling of seasonal ensemble predictions. Tellus A 57: 398–408, DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2005.00102.x. .
- 1999. Reduction of model systematic error by statistical correction for dynamical seasonal predictions. Journal of Climate 12: 1974–1989, DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442 (1999) 012 < 1974:ROMSEB > 2.0.CO;2. , , .
- 2006. Seasonal variation of the cross-equatorial flows and their influences on the onset of South China Sea Summer Monsoon. Climatic and Environmental Research 11: 57–68(in Chinese). , .
- 2001. Climate change due to greenhouse effects in China as simulated by a regional climate model. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 18(6): 1224–1230. , , , , .
- 2006. On the role of resolution and topography in the simulation of East Asia precipitation. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 86: 173–185, DOI: 10.1007/s00704-005-0214-4. , , , , .
- 2012. Uncertainties of monsoon precipitation projection over China: results from two high resolution RCM simulations. Climate Research 52: 213–226, DOI: 10.3354/cr01084. , , , , , , .
- 1998. Impact of ENSO on the seasonal rainfall in China. Journal of Natural Disasters 7: 44–52 (in Chinese). , .
- 2006. Bias correction of daily GCM rainfall for crop simulation studies. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 138(1–4): 44–53. .
- 2001. Floods in a changing climate: does the past represent the future? Water Resources Research 37: 3193–3205. , .
- 2008. Causality analysis of autumn rainfall anomalies in China in 2007. Meteorological Monthly 34: 86–94 (in Chinese). , , , , , , .
- 2011. Hindcast experiment of extraseasonal short-term summer climate prediction over China with RegCM3_IAP9L-AGCM. Acta Meteorologica Sinica 25(3): 376–385, DOI: 10.1007/s13351-011-0312-4. , .
- 1990. A method of relating general circulation model simulated climate to the observed local climate. Part I: Seasonal statistics. Journal of Climate 1: 1057–1064. , , , , .
- 1989. Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation. Journal of Climate 2: 1069–1090. , .
- 2004. Superensemble prediction of regional precipitation over Korea. International Journal of Climatology 24: 777–790, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1029. , , , .
- 2008. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 366(1885): 4647–4664. .
- 2010. Improving extra-seasonal summer rainfall prediction by merging information from GCM and observation. Weather and Forecasting 25: 1263–1274. .
- 2008. The variation of autumn and winter precipitation over Guangxi and analysis of its influence factors. Journal of Tropical Meteorology 24: 718–723 (in Chinese). , .
- 2000. Effect of ENSO on the autumn rainfall anomaly in Northwest China. Climatic and Environmental Research 5: 205–213(in Chinese). , , , .
- 2011. Statistical downscaling prediction of summer precipitation in southeastern China. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letter 4: 173–180. , , .
- 2012. The influence of the Madden-Julian oscillation activity anomalies on Yunnan's extreme drought of 2009–2010. Science China Earth Science 55: 98–112, DOI: 10.1007/s11430-011-4348-1. , , , .
- 2006. Bayesian dynamic modeling for monthly Indian summer monsoon rainfall using El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Equatorial Indian Ocean Oscillation (EQUINOO). Journal of Geophysical Research 111: D07104, DOI: 10.1029/2005JD006539. , .
- 2011. Decadal variability of Asian–Australian Monsoon–ENSO–TBO relationships. Journal of Climate 24: 4925–4940. , .
- 2010. Development and application of a multisite rainfall stochastic downscaling framework for climate change impact assessment. Water Resources Research 46: W07526, DOI: 10.1029/2009WR008423. , .
- 1987. Cross-validation in statistical climate forecast models. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 26: 1589–1600. .
- 2008. Interannual variability of autumn precipitation over South China and its relation to atmospheric circulation and SST anomalies. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 25: 117–125. , .
- 2004. Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble System for Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction (DEMETER). Bulletin American Meteorological Society 85: 853–872. , , .
- 1994. Interdecadal changes of surface temperature since the late nineteenth century. Journal of Geophysical Research 99: 14373–14399. , , , .
- 2006. Linear and nonlinear statistical downscaling for rainfall forecasting over southeastern Brazil. Weather and Forecasting 21: 969–989, DOI: 10.1175/WAF981.1. , , .
- 2003. Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. Journal of Geophysical Research 108: 4407, DOI: 10.1029/2002JD002670. , , , , , , .
- 2002. Automatic weather stations and artificial neural networks: improving the instrumental record in west Antarctica. Monthly Weather Review 130: 3037–3053, DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493 (2002) 130 < 3037:AWSAAN > 2.0.CO;2. , .
- 1987. Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Monthly Weather Review 115: 1606–1626. , .
- 2001. Dynamical seasonal predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon. Monthly Weather Review 129: 2226–2248. , , , , , , , , , , .
- 1996. Recent changes in the spatial distribution of annual precipitation in Israel. Journal of Climate 9: 3328–3336. , .
- 2001. Precipitation scenarios over Iberia: a comparison between direct GCM output and different downscaling techniques. Journal of Climate 14: 4422–4446, DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442 (2001) 014 < 4422:PSOIAC > 2.0.CO;2. , .
- 2005. The ERA-40 re-analysis. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 131: 2961–3012, DOI: 10.1256/qj.04.176. , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , .
- 1997. A preliminary study on the uncertainty of short-term climate prediction. Climatic Environmental Research 2: 333–338 (in Chinese). .
- 2000. The interannual variability of the East Asian monsoon and its relationship with SST in a coupled atmosphere-ocean-land climate model. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 17: 31–47. .
- 2001. The weakening of the Asian monsoon circulation after the end of 1970's. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 18: 376–386. .
- 2002. The instability of the East Asian summer monsoon ENSO relations. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 19: 1–11. .
- 2003. Interannual variability of Somali jet and its influences on the inter-hemispheric water vapor transport and on the East Asian summer rainfall. Chinese Journal of Geophysics 46: 18–25(in Chinese). , .
- 1999. El Nino and the related phenomenon Southern Oscillation (ENSO): the largest signal in interannual climate variation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 96: 11071–11072. , , , .
- 2000. Ensemble hindcast experiments for the flood period over China in 1998 by use of the CCSR/NIES atmospheric general circulation model. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan 78: 357–365. , , .
- 2004. Ensemble simulation of Asian-Australian monsoon variability by 11 AGCMs. Journal of Climate 17: 803–818. , , .
- 2003. Statistical precipitation downscaling over Northwestern United States using numerically simulated precipitation as a predictor. Journal of Climate 16: 799–816. , .
- 1990. Obtaining subgrid scale information from coarse-resolution general circulation model output. Journal of Geophysical Research 95: 1943–1953. , , , .
- 2005. Trends in total precipitation and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over China. Journal of Climate 18: 1096–1108. , , , .
- 2003. Impact of global warming on autumn precipitation in Northwest China. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology 25: 157–164(in Chinese). , , .
- 1998. A coupled ocean—atmosphere general circulation model for ENSO prediction and 1997/1998 ENSO forecast. Climatic and Environmental Research 3: 349–357 (in Chinese). , , , .
- 2010. Recent changes in the summer precipitation pattern in East China and the background circulation. Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0852-9. , , , .