• Achuthavarier D, Krishnamurthy V, Kirtman BP, Huang B. 2012. Role of the Indian Ocean in the ENSO-Indian summer monsoon teleconnection in the NCEP Climate Forecast System. Journal of Climate 25: 24902508. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00111.1.
  • Akaike H. 1970. Statistical predictor identification. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 22: 203217.
  • Allan RJ. 2000. ENSO and climatic variability in the last 150 years. In El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability, Global and Regional Impacts, Diaz HF, Markgraf V (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; 356.
  • Brockwell P, Davis R. 1991. Time Series: Theory and Methods, 2nd edn. Springer-Verlag: New York.
  • Chen M, Xie P, Janowiak JE, Arkin PA. 2002. Global land precipitation: a 50-yr monthly analysis based on gauge observations. Journal of Hydrometeorology 3: 249266.
  • Compo GP, Whitaker JS, Sardeshmukh PD, Matsui N, Allan RJ, Yin X, Gleason BE, Vose RS, Rutledge G, Bessemoulin P, Brönnimann S, Brunet M, Crouthamel RI, Grant AN, Groisman PY, Jones PD, Kruk MC, Kruger AC, Marshall GJ, Maugeri M, Mok HY, Nordli Ø, Ross TF, Trigo RM, Wang XL, Woodruff SD, Worley SJ. 2011. The twentieth century reanalysis project. Quartely Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 137: 128.
  • DelSole T, Shukla J. 2002. Linear prediction of Indian monsoon rainfall*. Journal of Climate 15: 36453658.
  • Gillies RR, Chung O-Y, Wang S-Y, Kokoszka P. 2011. Incorporation of Pacific SSTs in a time series model towards a longer-term forecast for the Great Salt Lake elevation. Journal of Hydrometeorology 12: 474480.
  • Legates DR, Willmott CJ. 1990. Mean seasonal and spatial variability in gauge-corrected, global precipitation. International Journal of Climatology 10: 111127.
  • Navone HD, Ceccatto HA. 1994. Predicting Indian monsoon rainfall: a neural network approach. Climate Dynamics 10: 305312.
  • Pattanaik DR, Kumar A. 2010. Prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over India using the NCEP climate forecast system. Climate Dynamics 34(4): 557572.
  • Pattanaik DR, Kumar A, Tyagi A. 2010. Development of empirical-dynamical hybrid forecasts for the Indian monsoon rainfall using the NCEP Climate Forecast System. Synoptic Meteorology No: 11/2010, IMD Met Monograph, Indian Meteorological Department.
  • Saha S, Nadiga S, Thiaw C, Wang J, Wang W, Zhang Q, Van den Dool HM, Pan H-L, Moorthi S, Behringer D, Stokes D, Peña M, Lord S, White G, Ebisuzaki W, Peng P, Xie P. 2006. The NCEP climate forecast system. Journal of Climate 19: 34833517.
  • Saha S, Moorthi S, Pan H-L, Wu X, Wang J, Nadiga S, Tripp P, Kistler R, Woollen J, Behringer D, Liu H, Stokes D, Grumbine R, Gayno G, Wang J, Hou Y-T, Chuang H-Y, Juang H-MH, Sela J, Iredell M, Treadon R, Kleist D, Van Delst P, Keyser D, Derber J, Ek M, Meng J, Wei H, Yang R, Lord S, Van Den Dool H, Kumar A, Wang W, Long C, Chelliah M, Xue Y, Huang B, Schemm J-K, Ebisuzaki W, Lin R, Xie P, Chen M, Zhou S, Higgins W, Zou C-Z, Liu Q, Chen Y, Han Y, Cucurull L, Reynolds RW, Rutledge G, Goldberg M. 2010. The NCEP climate forecast system reanalysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91: 10151057.
  • Sang H, Sun Y. 2012. Simultaneous sparse model selection and coefficient estimation for heavy-tailed autoregressive process. Statistics
  • Shrestha AB, Karmacharya J. 2006. Performance of nested RegCM3 climate model in central Himalayan range (A33A-05). American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 2007.
  • Shrestha AB, Wake CP, Dibb JE, Mayewski PA. 2000. Precipitation fluctuations in the Nepal Himalaya and its vicinity and relationship with some large scale climatological parameters. International Journal of Climatology 20: 317327.
  • Shukla J, Mooley DA. 1987. Empirical prediction of the summer monsoon rainfall over India. Monthly Weather Review 115: 695703.
  • Smith TM, Reynolds RW, Peterson TC, Lawrimore J. 2008. Improvements to NOAA's historical merged land–ocean surface temperature analysis (1880–2006). Journal of Climate 21: 22832296.
  • Sun Y, Lin X. 2012. Regularization for stationary multivariate time series. Quantitative Finance 12(4): 573586.
  • Wang S-Y, Gillies RR. 2012. Influence of the Pacific quasi-decadal oscillation on the monsoon precipitation in Nepal. Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1376-2.
  • Wang S-Y, Gillies RR, Hipps LE, Jin J. 2011. A transition-phase teleconnection of the Pacific quasi-decadal oscillation. Climate Dynamics 36: 681693.
  • White WB, Liu Z. 2008. Resonant excitation of the quasi-decadal oscillation by the 11-year signal in the Sun's irradiance. Journal of Geophysical Research 113: C01002.
  • Yang S, Zhang Z, Kousky VE, Higgins RW, Yoo S-H, Liang J, Fan Y. 2008. Simulations and seasonal prediction of the Asian summer monsoon in the NCEP climate forecast system. Journal of Climate 21: 37553775.
  • Yatagai A, Kamiguchi K, Arakawa O, Hamada A, Yasutomi N, Kitoh A. 2012. APHRODITE: Constructing a long-term daily gridded precipitation dataset for Asia based on a dense network of rain gauges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 93: 14011415.