Research Article
You have full text access to this OnlineOpen article
A tree-ring reconstruction of past precipitation for Baja California Sur, Mexico
Article first published online: 2 JUL 2001
DOI: 10.1002/joc.664
Copyright © 2001 Royal Meteorological Society
Additional Information
How to Cite
Díaz, S. C., Touchan, R. and Swetnam, T. W. (2001), A tree-ring reconstruction of past precipitation for Baja California Sur, Mexico. Int. J. Climatol., 21: 1007–1019. doi: 10.1002/joc.664
Publication History
- Issue published online: 2 JUL 2001
- Article first published online: 2 JUL 2001
- Manuscript Accepted: 16 FEB 2001
- Manuscript Revised: 15 FEB 2001
- Manuscript Received: 31 JUL 2000
Funded by
- CONACYT. Grant Number: 94965
- Fulbright-Garcia Robles. Grant Number: 22731
References
- , , . 1993. Decline of sacred fir (Abies reliogiosa) in a forest park south of Mexico City. Environmental Pollution 80(2): 115–121.
- , , . 1995. Analisis biogeográfico del noroeste de Mexico con énfasis en la variación climática y mastozoológica. Acta Zoológica Mexicana 66: 59–86.
- . 1990. The role of direct observation in predicting climate change. In Proceedings of the Seventh Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, April, 1990. Interagency Ecological Studies Program Technical Report 26, BetancourtJL, TharpVL (eds). California Department of Water Resources: Asilomar, California; 137–145.
- , . 1988. El Niño and its effect on precipitation in Arizona and western New Mexico. Journal of Climatology 8: 403–410.Direct Link:
- , . 1988. La Sierra de La Laguna de Baja California Sur. Publicación No. 1. Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas de B.C.S.
- , , . 1992. La Sierra de La Laguna. Fundamentos para apoyar la creación de una Reserva de la Biósfera. CIB-WWF. Publicación No. 7.
- , , . 1985. Spring and summer in the Gulf of California: observations of surface thermal patterns. Oceanologica Acta 8(1): 13–22.
- , . 1999. Radiocarbon analysis of Pinus lagunae tree rings: implications for tropical dendrochronology. Radiocarbon 41(3): 241–249.
- . 1976. Fourier Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction. Wiley: New York.
- . 1996. OLDLIST: A database of maximum tree ages. In Tree Rings, Environment, and Humanity. Radiocarbon 1996, DeanJS, MekoDM, SwetnamTW (eds). Department of Geosciences, The University of Arizona: Tucson; 727–731.
- . 1991. Forecasting El Niño with a geophysical model. In Teleconnnections Linking Worldwide Climate Anomalies, GlantzMH, KatzRW, NichollsN (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 345–369.
- , . 1990. Convection and rainfall over Mexico and their modulation by the Southern Oscillation. International Journal of Climatology 10: 377–386.Direct Link:
- , . 1992. El Niño/Southern Oscillation and streamflow in the western United States. In Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation, DiazH, MarkgrafV (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 29–68.
- , , . 1992. Secular variability of the Southern Oscillation detected in tree-ring data from Mexico and southern United States. In El Niño: The Historical and Paleoclimatic Record of the Southern Oscillation, DíazH, MarkgrafV (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 271–291.
- , . 1998. Principal components-based regionalization of precipitation regimes across the southwest United States and northern Mexico, with an application to monsoon precipitation variability. Climate Research 10: 201–215.
- . 1985. A time series analysis approach to the tree-ring standardization, PhD Dissertation. University of Arizona, Tucson.
- , . 1990. Methods of Dendrochronology: Applications in the Environmental Sciences. Kluwer Academic Publishers: Boston, MA.
- . 1995. Dinámica poblacional y análisis dendrocronológico de una especie de conífera endémica, Pinus lagunae M.F. Passini de Baja California Sur. Tesis de Maestría, Facultad de Ciencias, UNAM.
- , . 1992. A comparison of Southern Oscillation and El Niño signals in the tropics. In Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation, DiazH, MarkgrafV (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.
- , , . 1994. An interannual climatological aridity series for the Sierra de La Laguna, B.C.S., Mexico. Mountain Research and Development 14(2): 137–146.
- , . 1981. On a statistical relationship between autumn rainfall in the central equatorial Pacific and subsequent winter precipitation in Florida. Monthly Weather Review 109: 2377–2382.
- , , . 1990. Observed climate variations and change. In The IPCC Scientific Assessment. Climate Change, HoughtonJT, JenkinsGJ, EphraumsJJ (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 194–238.
- . 1976. Tree-Rings and Climate. Academic Press: London.
- . 1978. Apuntes de Climatología. Larios e Hijos Impresores: Mexico.
- . 1981. In Modificaciones al sistema de clasificación climática de Köpen, GarcíaE (ed.). UNAM: México.
- , , . 1991. Pattern of rainfall distribution in the central Pacific coast of México. Geografiska Annaler 73: 179–186.
- . 1983. Digital Filters (2nd edn). Prentice-Hall: Englewood Cliffs, NJ.
- , . 1965. Seasonal precipitation regimes in Baja California, Mexico. Geografiska Annaler 47A: 204–223.
- . 1991. An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology. Academic Press: New York.
- , , . 1991. Dendrochronology of Abies religiosa in Michoacan, Mexico. Tree-Ring Bulletin 51: 15–27.
- , . 1993. ENSO and precipitation variability over Mexico during the last 90 years. In Procedings of the North Annual Paclim Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, 21–24 April 1992. Interagency Ecological Studies Program Technical Report 34, RedmonKT, TharpVL (eds). California Department of Water Resources: Asilomar, California; 63–70.
- . 1949. On the use of double-mass analysis for testing the consistency of meteorological records and for making required adjustments. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82: 96–97.
- , . 1989. Flora of the Sierra de La Laguna, Baja California Sur, Mexico. Madroño 36(2): 61–83.
- . 1992. An index of the Southern Oscillation reconstructed from western North American tree-ring chronologies. In El Niño: Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation, DíazHF, MarkgrafV (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 215–226.
- , . 1985. The Southern Oscillation and tree rings: 1600–1961. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 24: 952–966.
- . 1988. Edafología. In La Sierra de La Laguna de Baja California SurPublicación No. 1, ArriagaL, OrtegaA (eds). Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas de B.C.S: La Paz, B.C.S., Mexico. .
- . 1992. Spectral properties of tree-ring data in the United States Southwest as related to El Niño/Southern Oscillation. In Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation, DiazH, MarkgrafV (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 227–242.
- , , . 1985. Periodicity in tree rings from Corn Belt. Science 228(4711): 381–384.
- . 1993. Características estructurales y banco de semillas de claros formados por la caida natural de arboles en el bosque de encino-pino de Baja California Sur, México. Tesis de licenciatura, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolas de Hidalgo, Mexico.
- . 1987. Historical data and climatic change in Mexico: a review. Geographical Journal 153: 211–222.
- . 1989. Long period fluctuations in El Niño amplitude and frequency reconstructed from tree-rings. In Aspects of Climatic Variability in the Pacific and Western Americas. Geophysical Monograph 55, PetersonDH (ed.) 69–74.
- . 1967. The Genus Pinus. The Ronald Press Company: New York.
- , . 1998. El Niño dynamics. Physics Today December: 32–36.
- NOAA. 1999. Preprint Ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/storm_archives/pacific/. Data for this analysis were provided by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Prediction Center (NCEP, NOAA), and are available from their Web site http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.
- , . 1995. Reconstructing the climate of Mexico from historical records. The Holocene 5: 486–490.
- . 1987. The endemic pinyon of Lower California: Pinus lagunae M.-F. Passini. Phytologia 63(5): 337–338.
- , . 1952. Interpolation of missing precipitation records. Monthly Weather Review 80: 129–133.
- . 1985. La formación de Pinus cembroides var. Lagunae en la Sierra de La laguna, B.C.S. Mexico. Informe realizado para obtener el D.E.A. de Ecología en el Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas de La Paz.
- . 1991. Observational aspects of ENSO cycle teleconnections. In Teleconnnections Linking Worldwide Climate Anomalies, GlantzMH, KatzRW, NichollsN (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 308–343.
- , . 1991. Tropical perturbations in the eastern Pacific and the precipitation field over north-western Mexico in relation to the ENSO phenomenon. International Journal of Climatology 11: 515–528.Direct Link:
- . 1963. Mexican west coast tropical cyclones, 1974–1961. Weatherwise 16: 226–229.
- . 1983. Reconstrucción de la precipitación en las costas noroccidentales de México a través de información dendrocronológica. Tesis de Maestría en Ciencias Pesqueras, Centro Interdisciplinario de Ciencias del Mar, Instituto Politécnico Nacional.
- . 1978. Vegetación de México. Editorial Limusa: México.
- . 1995. La aridez en el noroeste de México. Un análisis de su variabilidad en función de la condición térmica oceánica. Tesis de Maestría, Facultad de Ciencias, UNAM.
- , , , . 1998. La aridez en el Noroeste de México. Un análisis de su variabilidad espacial y temporal. Atmosfera 11(1): 29–44.
- . 1956. Dendroclimatic Changes in Semiarid America. University of Arizona Press: Tucson.
- . 1963. Tree-ring dating in Mexico. PhD Dissertation, University of Arizona, Tucson.
- . 1966. Dendrochronology in Mexico. Paper No. 2. In Papers of the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research. The University of Arizona Press: Tucson.
- . 1942. The desert vegetation of North America. Botanical Review 8: 195–246.
- , . 1993. Southern Oscillation extremes reconstructed from tree rings of the Sierra Madre Occidental and southern great plains. Journal of Climate 6(1): 129–140.
- , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . 1998. Experimental dendroclimatic reconstruction of the Southern Oscillation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 79(10): 2137–2152.
- , , , . 1999. Tree-Ring reconstruction of winter and summer precipitation in Durango, Mexico, for the past 600 years. In 10th Symposium on Global Change Studies, 10–15 January 1999, Dallas, TX, KarlTR (Program Chairman). American Meteorological Society: Boston, MA; 317–318.
- , . 1968. An Introduction to Tree-ring Dating. University of Chicago Press: Chicago, Illinois.
- , . 1996. Fire histories of montane forest in Madrean Borderland. In Effects of Fire on Madrean Province Ecosystems, AA Symposium Proceedings. USDA Forest Service, General Technical Report RM-GTR-289, FfolliotPF, DeBanoLF, Maker JrMB, GottfriedGJ, Solis-GarzaG, EdminsterCB, NearyDG, AllenLS, HamreRH (technical co-ordinators); 15–36.
- , . 1998. Mesoscale disturbance and ecological response to decadal climatic variability in the American Southwest. Journal of Climate 11: 3128–3147.
- . 1991. General characteristics of El Nino–Southern Oscillation. In Teleconnnections Linking Worldwide Climate Anomalies, GlantzMH, KatzRW, NichollsN (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 13–42.
- . 1996. Influence of land-use and climate on soils and forest structure in mountains of the southwestern United States and northern Mexico. PhD Dissertation, The University of Arizona, Tucson.
- . 1998. Tree-Ring chronologies and ENSO in northern Mexico. In American Quaternary Association Program and Abstracts of the 15th Biennial Meeting, Puerto Vallarta, Mexico. AMQUA; 64–65.
- , . 1995. Forest stand structure in mountains of Sonora, Mexico and New Mexico, USA. In Biodiversity and Management of the Madrean Archipelago: The Sky Islands of the Southwestern United States and Northern Mexico. USDA Forest Service, General Technical Report RM-GTR-264, Arizona, DeBanoLF, GottfriedGJ, HamreRH, EdminsterCB (technical co-ordinators); 416–423.
- . 1968. La vegetación forestal en el extremo meridional de Baja California. Dirección General del Inventario Forestal. Publ. No. 10. S.A.R.H., México.
- . 1985. Applied Linear Regression (2nd edn). John Wiley: New York.
- . 1980. Flora of Baja California. Stanford University Press: Stanford, California.
- , , . 1984. On the average value of correlated time series, with applications in dendroclimatology and Hydrometeorology. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 23: 201–203.

1097-0088/asset/JOC_centre.gif?v=1&s=392766b4fccfb001371ef9b7a825690a48ffca93)
1097-0088/asset/JOC_right.gif?v=1&s=0dac9618b2b4992612d732ba56fc6b92cb55979a)
1097-0088/asset/cover.gif?v=1&s=86bd20c4b9e235b31f03217ea75996a9b5386dc5)