SEARCH

SEARCH BY CITATION

References

  • Buzzi A, Fantini M, Malguzzi P, Nerozzi F. 1994. Validation of a limited area model in cases of Mediterranean cyclogenesis: surface fields and precipitation scores. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 53: 137153.
  • Chessa PA, Ficca G, Marrocu M, Buizza R. 2004. Application of a limited-area short-range ensemble forecast system to a case of heavy rainfall in the Mediterranean region. Weather and Forecasting 19: 566581.
  • Chessa PA, Dessy C, Ficca G, Castiglia C, Marrocu M, Di Piazza I, Federico S, Avolio E, Ferretti R. 2005. The Super-Ensemble Technique Applied to a Mesoscale Multianalysis-Multimodel Ensemble. Geophysical Research Abstracts, European Geosciences Union 2005. 7: 01915, 2005.
  • Ehrendorfer M. 1997. Predicting the uncertainty of numerical weather forecast: A review. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 6: 147183.
  • Gneiting T, Raftery AE, Westveld AH III, Goldman T. 2005. Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation. Monthly Weather Review 133: 10981118.
  • Grell GA, Dudhia J, Stauffer DR. 1994. A Description of the Fifth-Generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5). NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-3981STR, 121. [Available from MMM Division, NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307.].
  • Grimit EP, Mass CF. 2002. Initial results of a mesoscale short-range ensemble forecasting system over the Pacific Northwest. Weather and Forecasting 17: 192205.
  • Hamill TM, Whitaker JS. 2006. Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts based on reforecast analogs: theory and application. Monthly Weather Review 134: 32093229.
  • Krishnamurti TN, Kishtawal CM, LaRow T, Bachiochi D, Zhang Z, Wiliford E, Gadhil S, Surendran S. 1999. Improved weather and seasonal climate forecasts from multimodel ensemble. Science 285: 15481550.
  • Lorenz E. 1965. A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model. Tellus 17: 321333.
  • Molteni F, Buizza R, Marsigli C, Montani A, Nerozzi F, Paccagnella T. 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part I: Definition of representative members and global model experiments. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 127: 20692094.
  • Palmer T. 1993. Ensemble prediction. Proceedings 1992 ECMWF Seminar. ECMWF: Reading, UK.
  • Pielke RA, Cotton WR, Walko RL, Tremback CJ, Lyons WA, Grasso LD, Nicholls ME, Moran MD, Wesley DA, Lee TJ, Copeland JH. 1992. A comprehensive meteorological modeling system–RAMS. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 49: 6991.
  • Raftery AE, Gneiting T, Balabdaoui F, Polakowski M. 2005. Using a Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles. Weather Review 133: 11551174.
  • Toth Z, Kalnay E. 1993. Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 74: 23172330.
  • Wang X, Bishop CH. 2005. Improvement of ensemble reliability with a new dressing kernel. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 135: 965986.