• Dawkins SS, Stern H. 2003. Trends and volatility in the accuracy of temperature forecasts. In 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, Wellington, New Zealand, 24–28 Mar., 2003.
  • de la Lande J, Hagger RJ, Stern H. 1982. Melbourne forecasts–good or bad? Meteorology Australia 2(1): 2.
  • Gregg GT. 1969. On Comparative Rating of Forecasters. ESSA Technical Memorandum WBTM SR-48.
  • Lashley S, Lammers A, Fisher L, Simpson R, Taylor Weisser J, Logsdon D. 2008. Observing verification trends and applying a methodology to probabilistic precipitation forecasts at a National Weather Service forecast office. 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics. American Meteorology Society: New Orleans, 20–24 Jan., 2008.
  • Lorenz EN. 1963. Deterministic, non-periodic flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 20: 130141.
  • Lorenz EN. 1969a. Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 26: 636646.
  • Lorenz EN. 1969b. The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion. Tellus 21: 289307.
  • Lorenz EN. 1993. The Essence of Chaos. University of Washington Press: Seattle.
  • Sanders F. 1979. Trends in skill of daily forecasts of temperature and precipitation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 60: 763769.
  • StatSoft, Inc. 2006. Residual Variance and R-square. This account is available via the StatSoft, Inc. website /textbook/stmulreg.html#cresidual, which was accessed on 30 September 2006.
  • Stern H. 1980. An increase in the skill of Australian temperature forecasts. Australian Meteorological Magazine 28: 223228.
  • Stern H. 1986. A trend in the skill of Australian temperature forecasts. Meteorology Australia 4(2): 14.
  • Stern H. 1996. Statistically based weather forecast guidance. Ph. D. Thesis, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne.
  • Stern H. 1999a. An experiment to establish the limits of our predictive capability for Melbourne. Australian Meteorological Magazine 48: 159167.
  • Stern H. 1999b. Statistically Based Weather Forecast Guidance, Meteorological Study 43, Bureau of Meteorology: Australia.
  • Stern H. 2005. Establishing the limits of predictability at Melbourne, Australia, using a knowledge based forecasting system and NOAA's long-range NWP model. Australian Meteorological Magazine 54: 203211.
  • Wilks DS. 2006. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, 2nd edn. Elsevier: New York.