M-estimation for general ARMA Processes with Infinite Variance


Rongning Wu, Department of Statistics and Computer Information Systems, Baruch College, The City University of New York, New York, NY 10010, USA.
E-mail: rongning.wu@baruch.cuny.edu


Abstract.  General autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models extend the traditional ARMA models by removing the assumptions of causality and invertibility. The assumptions are not required under a non-Gaussian setting for the identifiability of the model parameters in contrast to the Gaussian setting. We study M-estimation for general ARMA processes with infinite variance, where the distribution of innovations is in the domain of attraction of a non-Gaussian stable law. Following the approach taken by Davis et al. (1992) and Davis (1996), we derive a functional limit theorem for random processes based on the objective function, and establish asymptotic properties of the M-estimator. We also consider bootstrapping the M-estimator and extend the results of Davis & Wu (1997) to the present setting so that statistical inferences are readily implemented. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the finite sample performance of the M-estimation and bootstrap procedures. An empirical example of financial time series is also provided.