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M-estimation for general ARMA Processes with Infinite Variance


Rongning Wu, Department of Statistics and Computer Information Systems, Baruch College, The City University of New York, New York, NY 10010, USA.


Abstract.  General autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models extend the traditional ARMA models by removing the assumptions of causality and invertibility. The assumptions are not required under a non-Gaussian setting for the identifiability of the model parameters in contrast to the Gaussian setting. We study M-estimation for general ARMA processes with infinite variance, where the distribution of innovations is in the domain of attraction of a non-Gaussian stable law. Following the approach taken by Davis et al. (1992) and Davis (1996), we derive a functional limit theorem for random processes based on the objective function, and establish asymptotic properties of the M-estimator. We also consider bootstrapping the M-estimator and extend the results of Davis & Wu (1997) to the present setting so that statistical inferences are readily implemented. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the finite sample performance of the M-estimation and bootstrap procedures. An empirical example of financial time series is also provided.