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Decision trees

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Abstract

Decision trees trace their origins to the era of the early development of written records. This history illustrates a major strength of trees: exceptionally interpretable results which have an intuitive tree-like display which, in turn, enhances understanding and the dissemination of results. The computational origins of decision trees—sometimes called classification trees or regression trees—are models of biological and cognitive processes. This common heritage drives complementary developments of both statistical decision trees and trees designed for machine learning. The unfolding and progressive elucidation of the various features of trees throughout their early history in the late 20th century is discussed along with the important associated reference points and responsible authors. Statistical approaches, such as a hypothesis testing and various resampling approaches, have coevolved along with machine learning implementations. This had resulted in exceptionally adaptable decision tree tools, appropriate for various statistical and machine learning tasks, across various levels of measurement, with varying levels of data quality. Trees are robust in the presence of missing data and offer multiple ways of incorporating missing data in the resulting models. Although trees are powerful, they are also flexible and easy to use methods. This assures the production of high quality results that require few assumptions to deploy. The treatment ends with a discussion of the most current developments which continue to rely on the synergies and cross-fertilization between statistical and machine learning communities. Current developments with the emergence of multiple trees and the various resampling approaches that are employed are discussed. WIREs Comput Stat 2013, 5:448–455. doi: 10.1002/wics.1278

Conflict of interest: The authors have declared no conflicts of interest for this article.

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