Predictability and limits to prediction in hydrologic systems



The National Research Council's (NRC's) Committee on Hydrologic Science (COHS) is engaged in studying the priorities and future strategies for hydrologic science. In order to involve a broad community representation, COHS is organizing three workshops on priority topics in hydrologic science: 1) predictability and limits-to-prediction in hydrologic systems, 2) integration of hydrological and ecological sciences, and 3) groundwater fluxes across interfaces [Entekhabi, 2000].

These efforts will culminate in reports from the NRC on the individual workshops, as well as a synthesis report on strategic directions in hydrologic science. The first workshop, entitled Predictability and Limits to Prediction in Hydrologic Systems, was held at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, on September 21 and 22, 2000. Thirteen technical presentations covered basic research and understanding, model formulations and behavior, observing strategies, and transition to operational predictions.