Probabilistic Forecasting of the Dst Index

  1. Tuija I. Pulkkinen,
  2. Nikolai A. Tsyganenko and
  3. Reiner H.W. Friedel
  1. Robert L. McPherron1,
  2. George Siscoe2,
  3. Nancy U. Crooker2 and
  4. Nick Arge3

Published Online: 18 MAR 2013

DOI: 10.1029/155GM22

The Inner Magnetosphere: Physics and Modeling

The Inner Magnetosphere: Physics and Modeling

How to Cite

McPherron, R. L., Siscoe, G., Crooker, N. U. and Arge, N. (2005) Probabilistic Forecasting of the Dst Index, in The Inner Magnetosphere: Physics and Modeling (eds T. I. Pulkkinen, N. A. Tsyganenko and R. H.W. Friedel), American Geophysical Union, Washington, D. C.. doi: 10.1029/155GM22

Author Information

  1. 1

    Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles California

  2. 2

    Center for Space Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts

  3. 3

    Phillips Lab, Hanscom Air Force Base, Boston, Massachusetts

Publication History

  1. Published Online: 18 MAR 2013
  2. Published Print: 1 JAN 2005

ISBN Information

Print ISBN: 9780875904207

Online ISBN: 9781118666098

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Keywords:

  • Magnetospheric physics—Simulation methods

Summary

This chapter contains sections titled:

  • Introduction

  • High-Speed Solar Wind Streams

  • Superposed Epoch Analysis

  • Cumulative Probablity Distributions for Indices Relative to Interface

  • A Stream Interface Detector

  • Example Predictions

  • Discussion