Dynamic and thermodynamic changes in mean and extreme precipitation under changed climate
Article first published online: 13 SEP 2005
Copyright 2005 by the American Geophysical Union.
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume 32, Issue 17, September 2005
How to Cite
2005), Dynamic and thermodynamic changes in mean and extreme precipitation under changed climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L17706, doi:10.1029/2005GL023272., and (
- Issue published online: 13 SEP 2005
- Article first published online: 13 SEP 2005
- Manuscript Accepted: 26 JUL 2005
- Manuscript Revised: 21 JUN 2005
- Manuscript Received: 19 APR 2005
 Extreme precipitation has been projected to increase more than the mean under future changed climate, but its mechanism is not clear. We have separated the ‘dynamic’ and ‘thermodynamic’ components of the mean and extreme precipitation changes projected in 6 climate model experiments. The dynamic change is due to the change in atmospheric motion, while the thermodynamic change is due to the change in atmospheric moisture content. The model results consistently show that there are areas with small change or decreases in the thermodynamic change for mean precipitation mainly over subtropics, while the thermodynamic change for extreme precipitation is an overall increase as a result of increased atmospheric moisture. The dynamic changes play a secondary role in the difference between mean and extreme and are limited to lower latitudes. Over many parts of mid- to high latitudes, mean and extreme precipitation increase in comparable magnitude due to a comparable thermodynamic increase.