Atmospheric Science

A globally consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends

  1. J. P. Kossin1,
  2. K. R. Knapp2,
  3. D. J. Vimont3,
  4. R. J. Murnane4,
  5. B. A. Harper5

Article first published online: 28 FEB 2007

DOI: 10.1029/2006GL028836

Issue

Geophysical Research Letters

Geophysical Research Letters

Additional Information

How to Cite

Kossin, J. P., K. R. Knapp, D. J. Vimont, R. J. Murnane, and B. A. Harper (2007), A globally consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L04815, doi:10.1029/2006GL028836.

Author Information

  1. 1

    Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA

  2. 2

    National Climatic Data Center, NOAA, Asheville, North Carolina, USA

  3. 3

    Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA

  4. 4

    Risk Prediction Initiative, Bermuda Institute of Ocean Sciences, Garrett Park, Maryland, USA

  5. 5

    Systems Engineering Australia Pty. Ltd., Bridgeman Downs, Queensland, Australia

Publication History

  1. Issue published online: 28 FEB 2007
  2. Article first published online: 28 FEB 2007
  3. Manuscript Accepted: 30 JAN 2007
  4. Manuscript Revised: 23 JAN 2007
  5. Manuscript Received: 22 NOV 2006

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Keywords:

  • climate change;
  • hurricane;
  • reanalysis

[1] Recently documented trends in the existing records of hurricane intensity and their relationship to increasing sea surface temperatures suggest that hurricane intensity may be increasing due to global warming. However, it is presently being argued that the existing global hurricane records are too inconsistent to accurately measure trends. As a first step in addressing this debate, we constructed a more homogeneous global record of hurricane intensity and found that previously documented trends in some ocean basins are well supported, but in others the existing records contain trends that may be inflated or spurious.

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