Aerosol and Clouds
Phenomenological reconstructions of the solar signature in the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature records since 1600
Article first published online: 3 NOV 2007
DOI: 10.1029/2007JD008437
Copyright 2007 by the American Geophysical Union.
Issue
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Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (1984–2012)
Volume 112, Issue D24, 27 December 2007
Additional Information
How to Cite
, and (2007), Phenomenological reconstructions of the solar signature in the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature records since 1600, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D24S03, doi:10.1029/2007JD008437.
Publication History
- Issue published online: 3 NOV 2007
- Article first published online: 3 NOV 2007
- Manuscript Accepted: 5 JUN 2007
- Manuscript Revised: 4 MAY 2007
- Manuscript Received: 18 JAN 2007
- Abstract
- Article
- References
- Cited By
Keywords:
- climate change;
- solar forcing;
- global warming
[1] A phenomenological thermodynamic model is adopted to estimate the relative contribution of the solar-induced versus anthropogenic-added climate forcing during the industrial era. We compare different preindustrial temperature and solar data reconstruction scenarios since 1610. We argue that a realistic climate scenario is the one described by a large preindustrial secular variability (as the one shown by the paleoclimate temperature reconstruction by Moberg et al. (2005)) with the total solar irradiance experiencing low secular variability (as the one shown by Wang et al. (2005)). Under this scenario the Sun might have contributed up to approximately 50% (or more if ACRIM total solar irradiance satellite composite (Willson and Mordvinov, 2003) is implemented) of the observed global warming since 1900.

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