Changes in extreme high water levels based on a quasi-global tide-gauge data set
Article first published online: 8 OCT 2010
Copyright 2010 by the American Geophysical Union.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (1978–2012)
Volume 115, Issue C10, October 2010
How to Cite
2010), Changes in extreme high water levels based on a quasi-global tide-gauge data set, J. Geophys. Res., 115, C10011, doi:10.1029/2009JC005997., and (
- Issue published online: 8 OCT 2010
- Article first published online: 8 OCT 2010
- Manuscript Accepted: 2 JUN 2010
- Manuscript Revised: 15 APR 2010
- Manuscript Received: 19 NOV 2009
- extreme sea levels;
- climate variability;
- statistical modeling
 A quasi-global sea level data set from tide gauges has been used to investigate extreme sea level events and their spatial and temporal variabilities. Modern methods based on a nonstationary extreme value analysis have been applied to the maxima of the total elevations and surges for the period of 1970 and onward. A subset of the data was used to study changes over the 20th century. The analyses demonstrate the magnitude and timing of the seasonal cycle of extreme sea level occurrence, the magnitude of long-term trends in extreme sea levels, the evidence for perigean and nodal astronomical tidal components in the extremes, and the relationship of the interannual variability in high water levels to other ocean and atmosphere variations as represented by climate indices. The subtraction from the extreme sea levels of the corresponding annual median sea level results in a reduction in the magnitude of trends at most stations, leading to the conclusion that much of the change in the extremes is due to change in the mean values.