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Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes

  1. A.-L. Daniau1,*,
  2. P. J. Bartlein2,
  3. S. P. Harrison1,3,
  4. I. C. Prentice3,4,5,
  5. S. Brewer6,
  6. P. Friedlingstein7,8,
  7. T. I. Harrison-Prentice9,
  8. J. Inoue10,
  9. K. Izumi2,
  10. J. R. Marlon11,
  11. S. Mooney12,
  12. M. J. Power13,
  13. J. Stevenson14,
  14. W. Tinner15,
  15. M. Andrič16,
  16. J. Atanassova17,
  17. H. Behling18,
  18. M. Black12,
  19. O. Blarquez19,
  20. K. J. Brown20,21,
  21. C. Carcaillet19,
  22. E. A. Colhoun22,
  23. D. Colombaroli15,
  24. B. A. S. Davis23,
  25. D. D'Costa24,
  26. J. Dodson25,
  27. L. Dupont26,
  28. Z. Eshetu27,
  29. D. G. Gavin2,
  30. A. Genries19,
  31. S. Haberle14,
  32. D. J. Hallett28,
  33. G. Hope14,
  34. S. P. Horn29,
  35. T. G. Kassa30,31,
  36. F. Katamura32,
  37. L. M. Kennedy33,
  38. P. Kershaw24,
  39. S. Krivonogov34,
  40. C. Long35,
  41. D. Magri36,
  42. E. Marinova17,37,
  43. G. M. McKenzie24,
  44. P. I. Moreno38,
  45. P. Moss39,
  46. F. H. Neumann40,41,
  47. E. Norström42,
  48. C. Paitre43,
  49. D. Rius44,45,
  50. N. Roberts46,
  51. G. S. Robinson47,
  52. N. Sasaki48,
  53. L. Scott49,
  54. H. Takahara50,
  55. V. Terwilliger51,52,53,
  56. F. Thevenon54,
  57. R. Turner46,55,
  58. V. G. Valsecchi15,56,
  59. B. Vannière44,
  60. M. Walsh2,57,
  61. N. Williams58,
  62. Y. Zhang59

Article first published online: 23 OCT 2012

DOI: 10.1029/2011GB004249

Issue

Global Biogeochemical Cycles

Global Biogeochemical Cycles

Additional Information

How to Cite

Daniau, A.-L., et al. (2012), Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 26, GB4007, doi:10.1029/2011GB004249.

Author Information

  1. 1

    School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK

  2. 2

    Department of Geography, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, USA

  3. 3

    School of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW, Australia

  4. 4

    QUEST, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK

  5. 5

    Grantham Institute for Climate Change and Division of Biology, Imperial College, Ascot, UK

  6. 6

    Botany Department, University of Wyoming, Laramie, Wyoming, USA

  7. 7

    Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement-UMR 1572 CNRS, Gif-sur-Yvette, France

  8. 8

    College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK

  9. 9

    Newton St. Cyres, Devon, UK

  10. 10

    Osaka City University, Osaka, Japan

  11. 11

    Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA

  12. 12

    School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia

  13. 13

    Utah Museum of Natural History and Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

  14. 14

    Department of Archaeology and Natural History, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia

  15. 15

    Institute of Plant Sciences and Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland

  16. 16

    Institute of Archaeology, Scientific Research Centre of the Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Ljubljana, Slovenia

  17. 17

    Department of Botany, Sofia University “Sv. Kliment Ohridski”, Sofia, Bulgaria

  18. 18

    Department of Palynology and Climate Dynamics, Georg-August University, Göttingen, Germany

  19. 19

    Centre for Bio-Archaeology and Ecology (UMR 5059 CNRS), and Paleoenvironments and Chronoecology (PALECO EPHE), Université Montpellier 2, Montpellier, France

  20. 20

    Canadian Forest Service, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada

  21. 21

    Department of Marine Geology and Glaciology, Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Copenhagen, Denmark

  22. 22

    School of Environmental and Life Sciences, The University of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, Australia

  23. 23

    Institute of Environment, Science and Technology, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland

  24. 24

    School of Geography and Environmental Science, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

  25. 25

    Institute for Environmental Research, Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation, Sydney, NSW, Australia

  26. 26

    MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany

  27. 27

    Paleoanthropology and Paleoenvironment Program, College of Natural Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

  28. 28

    Biogeoscience Institute, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada

  29. 29

    Department of Geography, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee, USA

  30. 30

    Seminar of Geography and Education, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany

  31. 31

    Also known as T. Gebru

  32. 32

    Tokushu Kosho Gijutsu Inc., Kyoto, Japan

  33. 33

    Department of Geography, Virginia Polytechnic and State University, Blacksburg, Virginia, USA

  34. 34

    Institute of Geology and Mineralogy, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia

  35. 35

    Department of Geography and Urban Planning, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh, Wisconsin, USA

  36. 36

    Dipartimento di Biologia Ambientale, Sapienza Università di Roma, Roma, Italy

  37. 37

    Center for Archaeological Sciences, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Leuven, Belgium

  38. 38

    Institute of Ecology and Biodiversity and Department of Ecological Sciences, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile

  39. 39

    Department of Planning and Environmental Management, School of Geography, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia

  40. 40

    Bernard Price Institute for Palaeontology, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa

  41. 41

    Forschungsstelle für Paläobotanik, University of Münster, Germany

  42. 42

    Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden

  43. 43

    Département de Géographie et Centre d'Études Nordiques, Université Laval, Quebec, Canada

  44. 44

    Chrono-Environment Laboratory-UMR 6249 CNRS, Université de Franche-Comté, Besançon, France

  45. 45

    GEODE-UMR 5602 CNRS, Toulouse, France

  46. 46

    Earth and Environmental Sciences, School of Geography, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK

  47. 47

    Department of Natural Sciences, Fordham College at Lincoln Center, New York, New York, USA

  48. 48

    Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan

  49. 49

    Department of Plant Sciences, Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa

  50. 50

    Graduate School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Kyoto Prefectural University, Kyoto, Japan

  51. 51

    Department of Geography, University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas, USA

  52. 52

    Institut des Sciences de la Terre d'Orléans-UMR 6113 du CNRS/INSU, Université d'Orléans, Orleans, France

  53. 53

    LE STUDIUM®, Loire Valley Institute for Advanced Studies, Orleans, France

  54. 54

    Institut F.-A. Forel, Université de Genève, Versoix, Switzerland

  55. 55

    Pedagogic Research Institute and Observatory, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK

  56. 56

    Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier-UMR 5554, Université Montpellier 2, Montpellier, France

  57. 57

    Department of Geography, Central Washington University, Ellensburg, Washington, USA

  58. 58

    Natural Resources Policy Section, NSW Department of Premier and Cabinet, Sydney, Australia

  59. 59

    Institute of Botany, State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

*Corresponding author: A.-L. Daniau, CNRS, EPOC, UMR 5805, Université Bordeaux 1, Talence, France. (al.daniau@epoc.u-bordeaux1.fr)

Publication History

  1. Issue published online: 23 OCT 2012
  2. Article first published online: 23 OCT 2012
  3. Manuscript Accepted: 4 SEP 2012
  4. Manuscript Revised: 17 AUG 2012
  5. Manuscript Received: 9 NOV 2011

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gbc1936-sup-0001-readme.txtplain text document8Kreadme.txt
gbc1936-sup-0002-fs01.pdfPDF document527KFigure S1. Simulated changes in semi-hemispheric mean annual temperature (MAT) and runoff (precipitation minus evaporation, P-E) from the ECBILT-CLIO Sim2b1 simulation.
gbc1936-sup-0003-fs02.pdfPDF document468KFigure S2. Simulated changes of summer (JJA in the Northern Hemisphere; DJF in the Southern Hemisphere), winter (DJF in the Northern Hemisphere; JJA in the Southern Hemisphere), and annual temperature for latitudinal belts from the northern polar to the southern polar zone.
gbc1936-sup-0004-fs03.pdfPDF document115KFigure S3. Generalized additive model (GAM) showing the relationship between ca 65,000 individual charcoal influx z-scores and climate.

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