When will Antarctic ozone begin to recover?



Emissions of ozone-depleting substances have declined over recent decades, but it takes time for the ozone layer to recover. Regular measurements of ozone levels above the South Pole now stretch back 25 years. Hassler et al. analyzed these recorded ozone data to assess changes in ozone loss rates. Consistent with previous studies, they found that ozone loss rates have been stable over the past 15 years, neither increasing nor decreasing. However, they predict that, assuming future atmospheric dynamics are similar to today's, ozone loss rates will begin to decline noticeably between 2017 and 2021. (Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, doi:10.1029/2011JD016353, 2011)