Unknowns about climate variability render treaty targets premature
Article first published online: 3 JUN 2011
©1997. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union
Volume 78, Issue 50, page 584, 16 December 1997
How to Cite
1997), Unknowns about climate variability render treaty targets premature, Eos Trans. AGU, 78(50), 584–584, doi:10.1029/97EO00351.(
- Issue published online: 3 JUN 2011
- Article first published online: 3 JUN 2011
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC) calls for a “stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” That level is nowhere defined, however, nor is the definition addressed in any of the reports of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC, 1996]. A reasonable interpretation might be that “dangerous” refers to the stability of the climate system rather than to a simple warming. For example, could higher GH gas (mainly CO2) concentrations produce a sudden, major change in the state of the climate?