Energy predictions



The course of action in energy and science policy is exceedingly unclear now that the pervasive ‘free market’ philosophy of the Reagan administration conflicts with past practices, but a number of new revelations about the fundamentals of strategic minerals are emerging. For example, estimates of the energy demand projected for the United States to the year 2000 have suddenly been scaled downward by about 20% in numerous published reports. The Department of Energy recently revised its Year 2000 Energy Demand downward by 20 Quads, to 102 Quads (1 Quad = 1015 BTU, which multiplied by 252 equals calories). Other estimates within and outside of the federal government range as low as about 60 Quads for the demand in 2000.