Aging of geophysicists



It has been noted that for many years science has been growing at a much faster rate than most other things in society. In fact, whether we count number of people employed or papers published, until recently science has been doubling in size about every 15 years, as disclosed in the classic work by Price [1963]. Thus, science increased much faster than the growth of the general population, or of the gross national product. But as with any biological or social system, such growth rates cannot continue indefinitely. What would it mean for science if the system entered “steady state staffing” of personnel; what would it mean for geophysics? Are we entering a “steady state” of geophysics?