Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union

Hurricane plenty


  • Elaine Friebele


If new predictions for above-average hurricane activity in 1997 materialize, the Atlantic Basin will have its most active 3-year hurricane span ever recorded. Colorado State University hurricane forecasters, led by professor William Gray, predict that 11 tropical storms will form in 1997, and that seven will be hurricanes—three of them intense. If the team's prediction unfolds, the period between 1995–1997 will be the most active 3-year period in the last 120 years of hurricane tracking—in contrast with 1991–1994, which was one of the calmest 4-year periods.