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Figure S1. Temporal trend of temperature in Slovakia during March and April between 1895 and 2003.

Figure S2. Autocorrelograms for all percentiles during the periods 1895–1913 and 1977–2007.

Figure S3. Relationship between the arrival date and the breeding success of individuals each year.

Figure S4. Predicted map of male arrivals during the period 1895–1913.

Figure S5. Moran's I autocorrelograms for residuals from partial least square regression models.

Figure S6. Predicted map of male arrivals during the period 1895–1913.

Figure S7. Moran's I autocorrelograms for residuals from partial least square regression models.

Table S1. Slovakian localities with records of arrival dates of stork males during 1895–1913 and 1977–2007.

Table S2. Multiple regression models for the annual slope values between arrival dates and the number of fledglings.

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