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Standard Paper
Chasing a moving target: projecting climate change-induced shifts in non-equilibrial tree species distributions
Article first published online: 21 JAN 2013
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.12049
© 2013 The Authors. Journal of Ecology © 2013 British Ecological Society
Additional Information
How to Cite
García-Valdés, R., Zavala, M. A., Araújo, M. B., Purves, D. W. (2013), Chasing a moving target: projecting climate change-induced shifts in non-equilibrial tree species distributions. Journal of Ecology, 101: 441–453. doi: 10.1111/1365-2745.12049
Publication History
- Issue published online: 22 FEB 2013
- Article first published online: 21 JAN 2013
- Manuscript Accepted: 23 NOV 2012
- Manuscript Received: 25 MAY 2012
Funded by
- Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (MCI. Grant Number: SUM2008-00004-C03-01
- Microsoft Research Internship Program. Grant Number: BES-2007-14404
- Abstract
- Article
- References
- Supporting Information
- Cited By
| Filename | Format | Size | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| jec12049-sup-0001-AppendixS1.pdf | application/PDF | 248K | Appendix S1. Spatial scale and the definition of presence/absence. |
| jec12049-sup-0002-AppendixS2.pdf | application/PDF | 402K | Appendix S2. Detailed model description and parameterization. |
| jec12049-sup-0003-TableS1.pdf | application/PDF | 411K | Table S1. Log-likelihood, AIC, ΔAIC and BIC values for all combinations of model and species. |
| jec12049-sup-0004-TableS2.pdf | application/PDF | 495K | Table S2. Parameters estimates for the E2C2 model. |
| jec12049-sup-0005-TableS3.pdf | application/PDF | 281K | |
| jec12049-sup-0006-FigureS1.pdf | application/PDF | 321K | Figure S1. Regional changes in species frequency from year 2000 to 2100 using the lowest AIC model (rather than the E2C2 model) for each species. |
| jec12049-sup-0007-FigureS2.pdf | application/PDF | 866K | |
| jec12049-sup-0008-FigureS3.pdf | application/PDF | 430K | Figure S3. E2C2 model validation for every species. |
| jec12049-sup-0009-FigureS4.pdf | application/PDF | 622K | Figure S4. Differences in local occupancy in 2100 between the climate change and stable climate scenarios. |
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